PolyBot

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Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on October 1?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-01
Resolves by
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.001. down 0.190 over the period, from 0.190. Range 0.001 to 0.330. 53 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0014,5984,598
0.0021,0105,608
0.0031,0106,617
0.004206,637
0.005106,647
0.006106,657
0.0071756,832
0.0083357,166
0.0092817,447
0.010157,462
0.011107,472
0.012107,482

Spread—Mid—

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal

Spread—Mid—

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9994,5984,598
0.9981,0105,608
0.9971,0106,617
0.996206,637
0.995106,647
0.994106,657
0.9931756,832
0.9923357,166
0.9912817,447
0.990157,462
0.989107,472
0.988107,482

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
WeatherMasterv3Yes1,764.33
TunSahurYes540.26
0xeB68675C06E0bB9F08ba510550912d77289Ce362-1778811892036Yes536.46
dp.Yes296.07
mashuuuYes279
tradetosurvive1Yes277.62
Helloitsmehere26374Yes259.71
0xSPBBYes171.97
balthazarYes128.77
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Yes126.7
cityeventsYes97.83
0x496f76BD5Cf4c2819C710aE90Ed1C84B2dc6FA5D-1773782287927Yes97.13
onefishYes90
ProBitterYes64.9
zytzrhYes57.56
PoligarchYes57.38
0xC29ecEDb1F9c40AaDE3aFeE50a7bd9EA433c3068-1789545518801Yes54.9
.MentheYes50
LXJXLJYes50
glugg-w3Yes42.06

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
10:30:17SELLNo0.9992$2.40
08:27:56SELLNo0.9994$4.00
05:25:05SELLNo0.99935$35.25
04:52:44SELLNo0.99961$60.84
04:49:20SELLNo0.9999$8.87
03:31:05SELLNo0.99935$35.38
03:10:32BUYNo0.9992$2.00
03:04:33BUYNo0.999638$637.00
03:00:36SELLNo0.9982$2.40
02:53:39BUYNo0.999120$120.00
02:38:35BUYNo0.999120$120.00
02:22:00BUYNo0.999120$120.00
01:37:36SELLNo0.99921$20.55
01:35:47SELLNo0.9990$0.38
01:35:45SELLNo0.99912$12.18
01:35:44SELLYes0.001194$0.19
00:45:20SELLNo0.9980$0.14
00:45:17BUYNo0.9998$8.02
00:31:12SELLNo0.9987$6.60
00:30:15SELLNo0.9981$1.42
00:30:14SELLNo0.9985$4.90
00:30:12BUYNo0.99980$80.29
00:20:50SELLNo0.9980$0.48
00:15:14SELLNo0.9980$0.14
00:15:11SELLNo0.9981$0.74