0xC29ecEDb1F9c40AaDE3aFeE50a7bd9EA433c3068-1789545518801
0xc29ecedb1f9c40aade3afee50a7bd9ea433c3068
- Realised P&L
- $37.8k
- Volume
- $26.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,168
- Open portfolio
- $200.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar144.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- CautionMarkets traded1,168
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration32.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$322.22at 0.029Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
- +$226.86at 0.002Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 25?
- +$217.93at 0.001Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on August 25?
- +$145.58at 0.167Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
- +$120.10at 0.001Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 03:30 | Will Rita Ozalia Rodríguez win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.00 |
| 09-15 03:30 | Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $600B and $700B at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.00 |
| 09-15 03:30 | Will Zema win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.00 |
| 09-15 03:30 | Will David Makhura be the next mayor of Johannesburg? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.00 |
| 09-15 03:30 | Will Escritor Augusto Cury win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.00 |
| 09-15 03:30 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.00 |
| 09-15 03:30 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.00 |
| 09-15 03:30 | Will Mistral be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.00 |
| 09-15 03:30 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.00 |
| 09-15 03:30 | Will Loyiso Masuku be the next mayor of Johannesburg? | SELL | 0.017 | $0.00 |
| 09-15 03:30 | Will Plinio Valério win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.00 |
| 09-15 03:30 | Will SpaceXAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.00 |
| 09-15 03:30 | Will Luciana Mandu win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.00 |
| 09-15 03:30 | Will Santiago Giménez (Milan) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Serie A season? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.00 |
| 09-15 03:30 | Will Rubén Antonio Hernández Del Águila win the next Maynas mayoral elections? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.00 |