0xc29ecedb1f9c40aade3afee50a7bd9ea433c3068
- Realised P&L
- $229.22
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $43.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar15.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.82at 0.100Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?
- +$26.27at 0.333Will Grêmio Novorizontino win on 2026-06-10?
- +$21.11at 0.333Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?
- +$16.79at 0.029Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?
- +$15.45at 0.032Will Jocelyn Benson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Democratic primary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-01 05:07 | Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.518 | $6.22 |
| 06-30 21:01 | Will Elaine Pelino win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.33 | $4.95 |
| 06-30 21:01 | Will Aly Richards win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election? | SELL | 0.53 | $4.77 |
| 06-30 21:01 | Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.139 | $8.06 |
| 06-30 06:00 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.014 | $0.11 |
| 06-29 16:34 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.009 | $0.08 |
| 06-28 06:15 | Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? | SELL | 0.18 | $2.70 |
| 06-28 03:33 | Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? | SELL | 0.18 | $1.08 |
| 06-28 01:22 | Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 06-28 00:16 | Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27? | SELL | 0.49 | $8.82 |
| 06-27 03:22 | Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26? | SELL | 0.39 | $17.94 |
| 06-27 01:16 | Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? | SELL | 0.29 | $14.50 |
| 06-26 17:15 | Will Norway vs. France end in a draw? | SELL | 0.17 | $8.50 |
| 06-26 12:16 | Will Jocelyn Benson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Democratic primary election? | SELL | 0.9409788235 | $16.00 |
| 06-25 23:45 | Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election? | SELL | 0.35 | $13.72 |