Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-06
Resolves by: https://x.com/elonmusk
Rewards: 50 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.17. down 0.03 over the period, from 0.20. Range 0.17 to 0.24. 61 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.18	350	350
0.19	1,124	1,474
0.20	1,582	3,055
0.21	350	3,405
0.22	446	3,851
0.23	94	3,945
0.24	1,133	5,078
0.25	1,564	6,642
0.26	760	7,402
0.27	461	7,863
0.28	321	8,184
0.29	1,104	9,288

Spread0.01Mid0.17

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.17	982	982
0.16	1,285	2,267
0.15	2,032	4,299
0.14	1,992	6,291
0.13	200	6,491
0.12	1,136	7,627
0.07	1,162	8,789
0.06	1,147	9,936
0.05	305	10,241
0.04	450	10,691
0.03	739	11,430
0.02	250	11,680

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.83	982	982
0.84	1,285	2,267
0.85	2,032	4,299
0.86	1,992	6,291
0.87	200	6,491
0.88	1,136	7,627
0.93	1,162	8,789
0.94	1,147	9,936
0.95	305	10,241
0.96	450	10,691
0.97	739	11,430
0.98	250	11,680

Spread0.01Mid0.82

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.82	350	350
0.81	1,124	1,474
0.80	1,582	3,055
0.79	350	3,405
0.78	446	3,851
0.77	94	3,945
0.76	1,133	5,078
0.75	1,564	6,642
0.74	760	7,402
0.73	461	7,863
0.72	321	8,184
0.71	1,104	9,288

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
kakdelaa	Yes	5,109.37
fghsrthrhrshrsth	Yes	5,000
Angeredbees	Yes	4,998
Poiuztrewq	Yes	3,800
smalltimezzz	Yes	2,318.06
sebyastiens	Yes	1,500
0xc6fd…53df	Yes	423.38
Fugger12345	Yes	300
plymbus	Yes	300
TaigerTeam	Yes	249
0x85F068Cce11e629B59DD5C33946C65f0870d62Eb-1769891983553	Yes	184.22
HerrieDavis	Yes	150.83
AM9691	Yes	144
Kratos777	Yes	115
0x7bc3E4534D5320CB6056762962A8dFa831abf868-1773057330930	Yes	110.95
rains45	Yes	105
benjaminproject	Yes	100
2B9S	Yes	100
YANIVALTALEV	Yes	95.24
0xc948…e6cd	Yes	91.14

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
14:57:24	SELL	Yes	0.17	51	$8.67
14:20:57	BUY	Yes	0.1799999986	28	$5.00
13:57:09	BUY	No	0.82	10	$8.20
13:51:03	BUY	Yes	0.1920531296	2,083	$400.00
13:38:27	BUY	No	0.82	44	$36.06
13:38:27	BUY	No	0.82	30	$24.60
13:38:26	BUY	No	0.8199999982	44	$36.09
13:34:14	BUY	Yes	0.19	300	$57.00
13:27:08	BUY	Yes	0.19	184	$35.00
13:00:21	BUY	Yes	0.19	300	$57.00
12:58:08	SELL	Yes	0.19	48	$9.16
12:58:06	BUY	No	0.81	169	$136.55
12:57:51	BUY	No	0.8065331575	2,480	$2000.00
12:49:26	BUY	No	0.7899999905	13	$10.00
12:40:44	BUY	Yes	0.22	115	$25.30
12:26:44	BUY	No	0.77	5	$4.09
12:26:44	BUY	No	0.77	48	$36.80
12:01:41	BUY	No	0.77	8	$5.78
11:49:29	BUY	No	0.77	40	$30.80
10:53:33	BUY	No	0.78	133	$103.69
10:51:42	SELL	No	0.7572	400	$302.88
10:51:30	SELL	No	0.76	200	$152.00
10:51:23	SELL	No	0.76	100	$76.00
10:51:21	BUY	Yes	0.2354949348	2,123	$500.00
10:51:21	BUY	Yes	0.25	87	$21.74