kakdelaa
0x274731566031275feacf0d4ec4c4fbf84a67fa5a
- Realised P&L
- $891.16
- Volume
- $56.5k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $5.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration81.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$880.75at 0.810Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$143.70at 0.330Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?
- +$44.33at 0.353Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
- +$14.31at 0.263Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
- +$2.88at 0.640Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 13:59 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $65.00 |
| 09-28 13:51 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.1920531296 | $400.00 |
| 09-28 10:51 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.2354949348 | $500.00 |
| 09-28 05:15 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.2171377981 | $200.00 |
| 09-27 12:47 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.92 |
| 09-27 12:45 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.41 | $47.28 |
| 09-27 11:33 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $8.64 |
| 09-27 10:33 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $70.46 |
| 09-27 10:31 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.3845692665 | $164.15 |
| 09-27 10:29 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $124.35 |
| 09-27 10:09 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $30.80 |
| 09-27 10:03 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | SELL | 0.4 | $707.55 |
| 09-27 09:58 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | SELL | 0.41 | $251.75 |
| 09-27 09:51 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $19.67 |
| 09-26 23:59 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $81.20 |