rains45
0x5fff4aea410f8475127a845b9780fab2120d3cf1
- Realised P&L
- $88.69
- Volume
- $60.0k
- Markets traded
- 154
- Open portfolio
- $79.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded154
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$585.81at 0.023Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
- +$432.03at 0.005Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
- +$331.98at 0.170Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
- +$111.83at 0.100Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
- +$72.80at 0.090Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 16:00 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.60 |
| 07-25 23:52 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $18.20 |
| 07-25 14:52 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $15.60 |
| 07-21 15:52 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $24.32 |
| 07-14 16:00 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.40 |
| 07-11 04:48 | Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.05 |
| 07-11 04:48 | Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.05 |
| 07-07 16:33 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $599.39 |
| 07-07 15:26 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.029 | $4.35 |
| 07-07 15:25 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.9667024823 | $435.01 |
| 06-27 05:24 | Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 06-27 05:24 | Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 06-27 05:22 | Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 06-16 06:57 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.028 | $11.20 |
| 06-16 06:57 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.089508675 | $35.80 |