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Traders

rains45

0x5fff4aea410f8475127a845b9780fab2120d3cf1

Realised P&L
$88.69
Volume
$60.0k
Markets traded
154
Open portfolio
$79.59

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded154
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes0.1800.175$18.38−$0.53
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes0.2000.175$18.38−$2.63
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes0.1700.155$16.27−$1.57
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes0.0900.125$13.13+$3.67
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes0.0500.055$5.77+$0.52
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes0.0100.033$3.41+$2.36
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes0.0100.017$1.78+$0.73
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes0.0200.015$1.52−$0.58
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes0.0010.003$0.32+$0.21
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes0.0010.002$0.16+$0.05
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes0.0010.002$0.16+$0.05
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes0.0010.002$0.16+$0.05
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$0.05−$0.05
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$0.05−$0.05
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$0.05−$0.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 16:00Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.16$1.60
07-25 23:52Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?SELL0.14$18.20
07-25 14:52Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?SELL0.12$15.60
07-21 15:52Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?BUY0.07$24.32
07-14 16:00Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?BUY0.04$0.40
07-11 04:48Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?BUY0.001$1.05
07-11 04:48Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?BUY0.001$1.05
07-07 16:33Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?SELL0.999$599.39
07-07 15:26Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?BUY0.029$4.35
07-07 15:25Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?SELL0.9667024823$435.01
06-27 05:24Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
06-27 05:24Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
06-27 05:22Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
06-16 06:57Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?BUY0.028$11.20
06-16 06:57Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?BUY0.089508675$35.80