PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

AM9691

0xc959dac4288ab5fc3b27285ae9d2fb121207c37f

Realised P&L
$6.9k
Volume
$522.2k
Markets traded
778
Open portfolio
$340.19

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded778
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · Yes0.2200.605$112.75+$71.75
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.4890.415$84.84−$15.16
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.4100.305$37.20−$12.80
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1240.087$35.28−$14.72
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes0.1600.145$31.72−$3.28
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes0.2500.175$25.20−$10.80
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.3800.053$6.97−$43.03
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · Yes0.3000.093$6.23−$13.77
Exact Score: Bologna FC 1909 1 - 0 Torino FC? · Yes0.1340.000$0.00−$37.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.6460.000$0.00−$300.00
Exact Score: Curaçao 1 - 3 Côte d'Ivoire? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$50.00
Exact Score: Japan 2 - 1 Uruguay? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$31.00
Exact Score: US Cremonese 1 - 1 UC Sampdoria? · Yes0.2270.000$0.00−$50.00
Exact Score: Thailand 1 - 0 Singapore? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$30.00
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00−$200.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 07:56Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Uruguay?BUY0.0899999998$37.00
09-28 07:55Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 2 Uruguay?BUY0.08$31.00
09-28 07:54Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Uruguay?BUY0.15$36.00
09-28 07:54Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 0 Uruguay?BUY0.1199999999$35.00
09-28 07:54Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 0 Uruguay?BUY0.08$30.00
09-28 07:50Exact Score: Japan 3 - 0 Venezuela?BUY0.1199999999$35.00
09-27 18:38Exact Score: Bolivia 1 - 3 Paraguay?BUY0.07$28.00
09-27 18:37Exact Score: Japan 2 - 0 Venezuela?BUY0.15$36.00
09-27 18:34Exact Score: Bolivia 0 - 2 Paraguay?BUY0.1399999997$32.00
09-27 18:27Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.25$36.00
09-27 18:27Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.16$35.00
09-27 18:26Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?BUY0.2999999985$20.00
09-27 18:24Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?SELL0.206762$41.35
09-27 03:54Exact Score: Serbia 1 - 3 Netherlands?BUY0.08$36.00
09-27 03:53Exact Score: Serbia 1 - 2 Netherlands?BUY0.11$32.00