AM9691
0xc959dac4288ab5fc3b27285ae9d2fb121207c37f
- Realised P&L
- $8.5k
- Volume
- $327.1k
- Markets traded
- 422
- Open portfolio
- $406.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded422
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.0kat 0.011Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Norway?
- +$842.38at 0.714Will United States win on 2026-07-01?
- +$795.61at 0.580Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$712.50at 0.123Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Spain?
- +$590.02at 0.119Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 06:21 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.4899999939 | $20.00 |
| 08-07 06:09 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.4485049811 | $30.00 |
| 08-07 03:54 | Exact Score: CF Intercity 1 - 1 Villarreal CF B? | BUY | 0.1442307638 | $20.00 |
| 08-07 01:45 | Exact Score: Austin FC 1 - 1 Club Tijuana? | BUY | 0.3832923728 | $20.00 |
| 08-06 12:59 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.489999998 | $30.00 |
| 08-06 12:58 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.999 | $106.51 |
| 08-06 04:11 | Will Malaga CF win on 2026-08-06? | BUY | 0.5099999986 | $50.00 |
| 08-06 04:06 | Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-08-05? | BUY | 0.2199999949 | $30.00 |
| 08-05 18:59 | Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-05? | BUY | 0.4499999955 | $50.00 |
| 08-05 16:03 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $228.17 |
| 08-05 16:03 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $230.25 |
| 08-05 16:02 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.1857463925 | $10.00 |
| 08-05 15:32 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999928 | $20.00 |
| 08-05 11:13 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.9989533545 | $263.84 |
| 08-05 07:47 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.4689448709 | $50.00 |