PolyBot

Browsing is read-only · trading funds are held by PolyBot

Sign in

Traders

AM9691

0xc959dac4288ab5fc3b27285ae9d2fb121207c37f

Realised P&L
$8.5k
Volume
$327.1k
Markets traded
422
Open portfolio
$406.99

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded422
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.4890.576$117.65+$17.65
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 7? · Yes0.4901.000$61.19+$31.19
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 8? · Yes0.4640.535$57.62+$7.62
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? · Yes0.1820.315$51.96+$21.96
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1240.128$51.41+$1.41
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.4100.405$49.39$0.61
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.3800.135$17.76$32.24
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.6460.000$0.00$300.00
Exact Score: Curaçao 1 - 3 Côte d'Ivoire? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$50.00
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$200.00
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$300.00
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Egypt? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00$100.00
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00$200.00
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Sweden? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$30.00
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 0 Sweden? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$30.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-07 06:21Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 8?BUY0.4899999939$20.00
08-07 06:09Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 8?BUY0.4485049811$30.00
08-07 03:54Exact Score: CF Intercity 1 - 1 Villarreal CF B?BUY0.1442307638$20.00
08-07 01:45Exact Score: Austin FC 1 - 1 Club Tijuana?BUY0.3832923728$20.00
08-06 12:59Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 7?BUY0.489999998$30.00
08-06 12:58Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 6?SELL0.999$106.51
08-06 04:11Will Malaga CF win on 2026-08-06?BUY0.5099999986$50.00
08-06 04:06Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-08-05?BUY0.2199999949$30.00
08-05 18:59Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-05?BUY0.4499999955$50.00
08-05 16:03Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?SELL0.999$228.17
08-05 16:03Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?SELL0.999$230.25
08-05 16:02Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?BUY0.1857463925$10.00
08-05 15:32Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?BUY0.1799999928$20.00
08-05 11:13Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 5?SELL0.9989533545$263.84
08-05 07:47Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 6?BUY0.4689448709$50.00