Kratos777
0xd2b4e511f763fea19773658df0fe1b1f51c52d9b
- Realised P&L
- $-679.93
- Volume
- $28.7k
- Markets traded
- 403
- Open portfolio
- $97.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded403
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$86.32at 0.128Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
- +$79.26at 0.207Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
- +$76.18at 0.238Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
- +$69.66at 0.071Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
- +$68.95at 0.310Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 12:42 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $9.20 |
| 09-28 12:42 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $13.80 |
| 09-28 12:41 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $17.25 |
| 09-28 12:41 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $21.85 |
| 09-28 12:40 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $25.30 |
| 09-28 12:40 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $17.25 |
| 09-27 20:04 | Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.989 | $69.49 |
| 09-23 07:48 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.70 |
| 09-21 11:23 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $5.20 |
| 09-21 11:14 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $13.00 |
| 09-21 11:13 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $30.00 |
| 09-21 11:13 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $34.00 |
| 09-21 11:13 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $15.00 |
| 09-17 19:51 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.30 |
| 09-15 11:11 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $3.60 |