Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-27
Resolves by: https://x.com/elonmusk
Rewards: 50 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.10. down 0.04 over the period, from 0.14. Range 0.07 to 0.14. 31 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.10	21	21
0.11	505	526
0.12	337	863
0.13	825	1,688
0.14	2,024	3,712
0.15	100	3,812
0.16	115	3,927
0.18	30	3,957
0.19	15	3,972
0.20	325	4,297
0.23	125	4,422
0.24	75	4,497

Spread0.01Mid0.10

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.09	423	423
0.08	726	1,149
0.07	525	1,674
0.06	728	2,402
0.05	3,386	5,788
0.04	15,012	20,800
0.03	2,477	23,276
0.02	1,090	24,366
0.01	1,926	26,292

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.91	423	423
0.92	726	1,149
0.93	525	1,674
0.94	728	2,402
0.95	3,386	5,788
0.96	15,012	20,800
0.97	2,477	23,276
0.98	1,090	24,366
0.99	1,926	26,292

Spread0.01Mid0.91

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.90	21	21
0.89	505	526
0.88	337	863
0.87	825	1,688
0.86	2,074	3,762
0.85	100	3,862
0.84	115	3,977
0.82	30	4,007
0.81	15	4,022
0.80	325	4,347
0.77	125	4,472
0.76	75	4,547

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
sebyastiens	Yes	5,000
AndreaPirlo	Yes	370.1
ElonJail	Yes	300
Destim	Yes	180
0xa123…3fd6	Yes	129
dennerch	Yes	91.54
0x094564D18891b07A5e7C88455eA5960Dd4704cE5-1776040930351	Yes	50
nirbz	Yes	50
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9	Yes	50
0xf8db…ca1d	Yes	50
2B9S	Yes	45.62
doudouc	Yes	44
CaprioDiLeo	Yes	41.3
WanderingPanda	Yes	15
Priyoy	Yes	10
ddaasdf	Yes	10
neverhackme	Yes	7.09
0x0D165f9EE31Fe85C889055a4c9a3Fe129B6058f5-1778608749615	Yes	5
AJSV	Yes	5
ghorrock	Yes	2.5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
14:33:12	BUY	No	0.91	3	$3.00
10:51:33	BUY	Yes	0.1	300	$30.00
10:51:32	BUY	Yes	0.11	50	$5.50
10:51:32	BUY	Yes	0.11	36	$3.97
08:42:53	BUY	Yes	0.1	50	$5.00
07:45:41	BUY	Yes	0.1	10	$1.00
05:53:47	BUY	No	0.91	67	$60.97
23:52:26	BUY	Yes	0.1	50	$5.00
19:53:56	BUY	Yes	0.1	20	$2.00
19:48:03	BUY	Yes	0.1	100	$10.00
16:04:30	BUY	Yes	0.07	9	$0.63
14:32:15	BUY	No	0.95	1	$1.23
14:32:06	BUY	No	0.95	12	$11.03
14:32:06	BUY	No	0.95	10	$9.50
14:31:53	BUY	No	0.95	7	$6.65
12:33:47	SELL	No	0.91	0	$0.01
12:33:47	SELL	Yes	0.05	0	$0.00
10:44:57	BUY	No	0.91	9	$8.19
10:44:11	BUY	No	0.92	5	$4.60
08:14:51	BUY	Yes	0.1092436969	92	$10.00
07:57:06	SELL	Yes	0.0425	40	$1.70
07:49:00	SELL	Yes	0.07	20	$1.40
07:48:57	BUY	No	0.92	284	$261.28
07:48:57	BUY	No	0.93	24	$22.32
07:48:57	BUY	No	0.93	20	$18.60