nirbz
0x465fcf8cd3e1bf5686da1b99465ab54d12d7e2e8
- Realised P&L
- $-21.67
- Volume
- $15.2k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $47.40
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.50at 0.146Jilin Northeast Tigers vs. Beijing Ducks
- +$0.36at 0.304Tokenized stocks available on Robinhood by March 31, 2027?
- +$-0.07at 0.013Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?
- +$-0.09at 0.005Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$-0.16at 0.290US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 09:58 | Will the Milwaukee Bucks finish with the worst record in the NBA in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.152 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 09:52 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.42 | $2.93 |
| 10-18 09:47 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21? | BUY | 0.46 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 08:52 | Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | BUY | 0.49 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 08:50 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 08:50 | Will RZP-Zehut win 4-5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.29 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 08:46 | Will the Republicans win Sedgwick County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 08:42 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 08:42 | Jilin Northeast Tigers vs. Beijing Ducks | BUY | 0.14 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 07:41 | Will the Republican Party win the TN-05 House seat? | BUY | 0.07 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 07:39 | Tokenized stocks available on Robinhood by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.29 | $2.90 |
| 10-18 07:34 | Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.42 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 02:42 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-27 House election by 0%-3%? | SELL | 0.16 | $4.21 |
| 10-05 16:06 | Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31? | SELL | 0.008 | $3.64 |
| 10-05 15:49 | Will Oura's market cap be between $10B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.012 | $3.00 |