PolyBot

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Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 45% and 48% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-05
Rewards
120 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.49. up 0.23 over the period, from 0.26. Range 0.10 to 0.50. 149 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.531010
0.54120130
0.5530160
0.56167327
0.57125452
0.5870522
0.6250572
0.6320592
0.6820612
0.7215627
0.7395722
0.74180902

Spread0.04Mid0.51

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.498888
0.48274362
0.4654416
0.4556472
0.4457529
0.4358587
0.4280666
0.41225892
0.407001,592
0.35901,682
0.32901,772
0.313382,109

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.518888
0.52274362
0.5454416
0.5556472
0.5657529
0.5758587
0.5880666
0.59225892
0.607001,592
0.65901,682
0.68901,772
0.693382,109

Spread0.04Mid0.49

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.471010
0.46120130
0.4530160
0.44167327
0.43125452
0.4270522
0.3850572
0.3720592
0.3220612
0.2815627
0.2795722
0.26180902

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
PredictandbreatheYes7,531.36
RenanPresidente.Yes1,262.92
AddarashYes830.77
LulaVaiPerderYes585.27
0x956c7875b134ec178455f00D564687417a5b336A-1767682345268Yes308.89
bancomasterYes162.52
Ad4mse7enYes105.99
0xEc210D84909AE63351603091893FE2Bf9356cbBF-1781350608488Yes104
donthackmeYes100.72
0x8226…8877Yes98.5
OswaldMcFurtherYes64.56
pootytherewardfarmerYes60
youtube-traderYes45.61
gat1121Yes45.36
ufofocusYes37.67
neverhackmeYes37.53
Georgette98Yes32.81
LufelolaYes30.7
matheuscb2Yes28.57
colonoYes25

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
20:12:05BUYYes0.515315311621$11.00
19:55:04BUYYes0.489999988416$8.00
19:50:43BUYYes0.48999989524$1.73
19:50:22BUYYes0.48226$108.48
19:30:34BUYYes0.4815$7.20
19:30:16BUYYes0.465$2.47
19:24:43BUYYes0.45300$135.00
19:21:32BUYYes0.45631,000$456.30
19:20:02BUYYes0.455$2.38
19:19:46SELLNo0.557311888136$19.92
19:18:44SELLNo0.568$4.62
19:02:29BUYYes0.429999991931$13.20
18:33:14SELLNo0.5932$19.15
18:22:43BUYYes0.40999995357$3.00
18:12:37BUYNo0.602642540$24.11
18:12:37BUYNo0.6120$12.22
17:26:56BUYYes0.429847715799$42.34
17:25:14BUYNo0.609999995482$49.93
17:25:14BUYNo0.6110$6.10
17:25:14BUYNo0.618$4.88
17:25:14BUYNo0.608017540$24.32
17:25:14BUYNo0.599999993330$17.99
16:25:16BUYNo0.609999991311$7.00
15:49:05BUYYes0.43100$43.00
15:02:07BUYYes0.462918806335$155.08