Georgette98
0xcfeac35ce3bf82a8cd667a1b99c6545bcf40182a
- Realised P&L
- $22.09
- Volume
- $57.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,068
- Open portfolio
- $58.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,068
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration37.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$192.51at 0.072Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?
- +$100.69at 0.275Will Victor Mellor be the RI-02 Republican nominee?
- +$96.83at 0.023Will David Crowley win Waukesha County in the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary?
- +$91.25at 0.178Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?
- +$64.61at 0.015Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by 20–25%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 10:07 | Will AfD win 32-35 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.951 | $27.33 |
| 09-21 10:07 | Will CDU win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.9584968533 | $28.94 |
| 09-21 10:06 | Will AfD win 29-31 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.957 | $9.98 |
| 09-21 10:05 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.999 | $8.91 |
| 09-21 10:05 | Will SPD win between 13% and 16% of all valid second votes? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.08 |
| 09-21 10:04 | Will Grüne win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.67 |
| 09-20 21:35 | Will Linke win less than 8% of all valid second votes? | SELL | 0.986 | $4.36 |
| 09-20 21:29 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 21:25 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.20 |
| 09-20 21:23 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.0272727273 | $1.80 |
| 09-20 21:15 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.06 | $0.90 |
| 09-20 21:10 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.0599999991 | $1.30 |
| 09-20 21:10 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.0110959243 | $1.10 |
| 09-20 21:10 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.0019010106 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 21:06 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.40 |