Georgette98
0xcfeac35ce3bf82a8cd667a1b99c6545bcf40182a
- Realised P&L
- $-181.91
- Volume
- $28.0k
- Markets traded
- 622
- Open portfolio
- $17.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded622
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$47.43at 0.021Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C or higher on July 25?
- +$30.40at 0.141Will Reilly Neill be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Montana?
- +$26.40at 0.040Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C or higher on August 2?
- +$26.00at 0.037Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on July 23?
- +$18.78at 0.060Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 16:01 | Will Bridget Brink be the Democratic nominee for MI-07? | BUY | 0.0650703806 | $1.40 |
| 08-04 16:01 | Will Matt Maasdam be the Democratic nominee for MI-07? | BUY | 0.0292516088 | $1.30 |
| 08-04 16:00 | Will Salaam Bhatti be the VA-01 Democratic nominee? | BUY | 0.0190472562 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 12:25 | Will Amanda McKinney advance to the general election for WA-04? | BUY | 0.0569999529 | $1.10 |
| 08-04 12:17 | Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | BUY | 0.056 | $0.56 |
| 08-04 12:14 | Will John Duresky advance to the general election for WA-04? | BUY | 0.0979999266 | $1.10 |
| 08-04 11:55 | Will Nathan Willett be the Republican nominee for MO-06? | BUY | 0.0590027974 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 11:39 | Will Taylor Burks be the MO-05 Republican nominee? | BUY | 0.0584684194 | $1.10 |
| 08-04 11:37 | Will Callie Barr be the MI-01 Democratic nominee? | BUY | 0.2099998587 | $1.10 |
| 08-04 11:36 | Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? | BUY | 0.139999909 | $1.20 |
| 08-04 11:35 | Will Jamie Hill be the MI-02 Democratic nominee? | BUY | 0.0895521626 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 11:30 | Will Tim Greimel be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10? | BUY | 0.0210847205 | $1.10 |
| 08-04 11:29 | Will Eric Chung be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10? | BUY | 0.0417040961 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 11:27 | Will Don Ufford be the Democratic nominee for MI-11? | BUY | 0.0076447485 | $1.60 |
| 08-04 11:26 | Will Jeremy Moss be the Democratic nominee for MI-11? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |