0xEc210D84909AE63351603091893FE2Bf9356cbBF-1781350608488
0xec210d84909ae63351603091893fe2bf9356cbbf
- Realised P&L
- $-33.28
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $103.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.42at 0.577Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
- +$5.97at 0.462Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 4?
- +$5.38at 0.462Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 4?
- +$4.91at 0.860Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
- +$3.84at 0.303Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 11:21 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? | BUY | 0.025 | $0.13 |
| 10-01 11:19 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 45% and 48% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.22 | $22.88 |
| 07-06 18:29 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on July 6? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 07-05 21:45 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on July 6? | BUY | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 07-05 21:45 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on July 6? | BUY | 0.33 | $1.65 |
| 07-05 19:29 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 5? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.01 |
| 07-05 19:29 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 5? | SELL | 0.12488 | $0.62 |
| 07-05 19:29 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on July 5? | SELL | 0.34 | $1.70 |
| 07-05 18:29 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on July 5? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.50 |
| 07-05 00:20 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 5? | BUY | 0.8599999935 | $8.00 |
| 07-04 19:28 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or below on July 4? | BUY | 0.7899999866 | $10.00 |
| 07-03 21:51 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 4? | BUY | 0.45 | $4.50 |
| 07-03 18:30 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 4? | BUY | 0.449999955 | $5.00 |
| 07-03 11:56 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on July 4? | BUY | 0.6099999748 | $8.00 |
| 07-03 00:57 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 3? | BUY | 0.7399999833 | $8.00 |