PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Ad4mse7en

0x9fc299da19ed4637284cdc5dffae61a4c1e05723

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$58.3k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$2.9k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration66.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration84.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4160.542$2.5k+$579.01
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.6440.436$149.11$70.88
Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference? · Yes0.3321.000$124.99+$83.49
Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? · No0.6501.000$120.00+$42.00
Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round? · No0.6000.610$27.45+$0.45
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0250.001$18.96$932.47
Will Jose Tolentino de Mendonca be the next pope? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$20.00
Will Angelo Scola be the next pope? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$10.00
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0650.000$0.00$678.35
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope? · Yes0.1990.000$0.00$50.00
Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope? · Yes0.0810.000$0.00$25.00
Will the next pop be elected in 2 days? · No0.6170.000$0.00$100.00
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$21.00
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament? · Yes0.0740.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 17:55Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference?BUY0.65$78.00
09-16 17:53Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference?BUY0.3319993599$41.50
09-16 15:28Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?BUY0.6$27.00
09-03 19:43Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.429$64.35
09-03 19:42Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.417$408.24
09-03 19:41Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.4154903289$1.4k
09-03 19:41Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.406$40.60
08-05 19:28Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.0070062206$35.13
08-05 18:52Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.003286255$17.98
08-05 17:57Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETBUY0.599999976$5.00
08-05 17:57Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETBUY0.5599999776$5.00
08-05 17:57Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETBUY0.599999976$5.00
07-20 23:24Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.6439999838$30.00
07-20 23:23Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.6439999974$190.00
07-03 21:43Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0679999999$536.51