Will the biggest earthquake on October 20, 2026 be under 5.3?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-21
Resolves by: https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.001. down 0.170 over the period, from 0.170. Range 0.001 to 0.363. 59 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.001	15	15
0.078	61	76
0.079	171	247
0.080	20	267
0.259	13	280
0.320	80	360
0.488	121	481
0.489	20	501
0.490	200	701
0.745	100	801
0.966	2,941	3,742
0.967	1,000	4,742

Spread—Mid—

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total

Spread—Mid—

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.999	15	15
0.922	61	76
0.921	171	247
0.920	20	267
0.741	13	280
0.680	80	360
0.512	121	481
0.511	20	501
0.510	200	701
0.255	100	801
0.034	2,941	3,742
0.033	1,000	4,742

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
LovelyPanda	Yes	171.37
Fihdrzgdd	Yes	130
Haradwaith	Yes	80
0xSPBB	Yes	60.5
0x3ff7…2fa2	Yes	50
.Menthe	Yes	50
a5533	Yes	49.99
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9	Yes	46.24
0x8a0beE4167d8A863adc7150d0335718e4bc5d92C-1767634776421	Yes	28.63
0xb0e74DF9430A089Aa102e2207Af5fde1967439D2-1789545517033	Yes	27.9
Tallguy2527	Yes	20
helicobite	Yes	20
TENETENET	Yes	10
bjprolo	Yes	10
balthazar	Yes	5.27
triklozoid	Yes	5
johnsalchichon	No	279.87
0xa5ef…2966	No	213.51
123987456	No	100
0x8f6970acd7c9466fc1d09a7c17071705c8e52923-1792437064758	No	100

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
16:28:48	BUY	No	0.999	35	$34.69
12:51:42	BUY	Yes	0.4889999975	29	$14.00
11:22:14	BUY	No	0.999	6	$6.17
09:59:23	BUY	No	0.999	8	$8.09
09:47:47	BUY	No	0.999	18	$17.98
09:31:39	BUY	No	0.999	20	$19.98
09:19:41	BUY	No	0.999	18	$17.98
04:43:48	BUY	No	0.9875034838	280	$276.37
04:31:45	BUY	No	0.98	31	$30.00
04:31:45	BUY	No	0.98	16	$15.92
04:27:00	BUY	No	0.96	20	$19.20
04:26:48	BUY	No	0.92	7	$6.62
04:26:48	BUY	No	0.92	13	$11.78
14:53:54	SELL	Yes	0.16	50	$8.00
14:53:36	BUY	Yes	0.12	20	$2.40
14:49:41	BUY	No	0.83	200	$166.00
14:49:41	BUY	No	0.83	40	$33.20
14:49:41	BUY	No	0.83	20	$16.60
14:49:41	BUY	No	0.83	65	$53.95