Will the biggest earthquake on September 28, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-09-29
Resolves by: https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.009. down 0.736 over the period, from 0.745. Range 0.005 to 0.745. 29 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.017	10	10
0.018	20	30
0.050	10	40
0.140	20	60
0.239	13	73
0.985	20	93
0.997	333	426
0.998	510	936
0.999	1,065	2,001

Spread0.016Mid0.009

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.001	45	45

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.999	45	45

Spread0.016Mid0.991

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.983	10	10
0.982	20	30
0.950	10	40
0.860	20	60
0.761	13	73
0.015	20	93
0.003	333	426
0.002	510	936
0.001	1,065	2,001

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
GuyFromTinder	Yes	41
spxtest	Yes	40
AJSV	Yes	23.5
.Menthe	Yes	20
arbman69	Yes	19.99
bjprolo	Yes	10
cactus-test	Yes	9.73
0xa5ef…2966	No	75
0x3ff7…2fa2	No	29.1
bubububblebutt	No	20.09
bullbull88	No	20
sanmos111	No	20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
06:22:21	SELL	No	0.99	20	$19.80
06:22:03	BUY	No	0.999	20	$19.98
04:09:17	SELL	No	0.99	9	$8.41
04:09:02	BUY	No	0.99	9	$8.41
02:00:54	BUY	No	0.99	2	$1.48
02:00:44	BUY	No	0.989	14	$13.35
00:04:12	BUY	No	0.98	5	$4.99
23:56:18	BUY	No	0.97	15	$14.55
23:55:53	BUY	No	0.97	10	$9.70
23:46:54	BUY	No	0.91	30	$27.30
12:25:08	SELL	Yes	0.09	11	$0.99
11:14:00	SELL	Yes	0.14	10	$1.44
11:13:59	BUY	No	0.8548312483	20	$17.20
11:13:59	BUY	No	0.85	81	$68.51
09:40:27	BUY	Yes	0.16	20	$3.22
09:31:20	BUY	Yes	0.16	20	$3.20
09:26:11	BUY	Yes	0.09	80	$7.20