PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the biggest earthquake on September 28, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-29
Resolves by
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.995. up 0.740 over the period, from 0.255. Range 0.255 to 0.995. 27 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9999090

Spread0.009Mid0.994

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9902020
0.8721131
0.8221244
0.7721963
0.7222184
0.67322106
0.62232138
0.57235173
0.54040213
0.53040253
0.52238291
0.47242334

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0102020
0.1281131
0.1781244
0.2281963
0.2782184
0.32722106
0.37832138
0.42835173
0.46040213
0.47040253
0.47838291
0.52842334

Spread0.009Mid0.005

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0019090

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0x3ff7…2fa2Yes128
spxtestYes91.14
bubububblebuttYes78.28
brownoreoYes50
BitgodYes20
a5533Yes20
0xeb53…7925Yes20
pootytherewardfarmerNo123
pelastiNo80
0xa5ef…2966No75
GuyFromTinderNo38.28
alpha-labNo20
sanmos111No20
GGbondeNo19
bullbull88No16.54
bjproloNo10
tradetosurvive1No5.6

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
06:26:09SELLYes0.991$0.99
06:25:50SELLYes0.991$0.99
05:52:50BUYNo0.0120$0.20
05:10:59BUYYes0.9910$9.90
02:42:14SELLYes0.960687994558$55.85
02:00:54BUYNo0.0112$0.02
02:00:44BUYNo0.01114$0.15
02:00:44SELLNo0.01110$0.11
00:04:21BUYYes0.9710$9.70
23:55:53BUYYes0.8610$8.60
23:46:54BUYYes0.7930$23.70
23:46:11BUYYes0.57107$60.99
23:38:51BUYYes0.569999996338$21.82
19:54:24BUYYes0.5520$11.00
16:43:54BUYYes0.5435$18.90
15:31:41BUYYes0.5410$5.40
14:10:45BUYYes0.5520$11.00
11:33:20BUYYes0.559999993858$32.56
11:08:39SELLNo0.4440$17.60
10:33:02BUYNo0.2840$11.20
07:13:26SELLNo0.520$10.00
05:12:20BUYNo0.520$10.00