zzbonda
0x1544f6e8f45c916fb19fa5e154bfb97084fa4f84
- Realised P&L
- $-396.91
- Volume
- $217.6k
- Markets traded
- 754
- Open portfolio
- $2.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded754
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.50at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
- +$24.99at 0.010Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
- +$24.99at 0.010Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
- +$22.57at 0.010Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
- +$14.69at 0.010Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 16:32 | Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 09-15 13:31 | Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 7-September 13? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 09-15 13:18 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 33 and 34 million views on day 3? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.40 |
| 09-15 13:14 | Will Kansas City, MO face tornado risk on September 15? | SELL | 0.96 | $19.20 |
| 09-15 13:12 | Will New Orleans, LA face tornado risk on September 15? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.80 |
| 09-15 13:04 | Will Russia target Kyiv on September 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 09-15 13:02 | Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.0098597396 | $0.40 |
| 09-15 13:01 | Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.0103158621 | $0.60 |
| 09-15 12:55 | Will Russia target Kyiv on September 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.03 |
| 09-15 11:32 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 33 and 34 million views on day 3? | SELL | 0.024 | $0.48 |
| 09-15 10:33 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on September 15? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.10 |
| 09-15 10:06 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 33 and 34 million views on day 3? | BUY | 0.043 | $0.21 |
| 09-15 08:56 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on September 15? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 09-15 01:17 | Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $0.53 |
| 09-15 01:13 | Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $0.67 |