brownoreo
0x5053b76beb661362b76bd07a6b013962f3633efd
- Realised P&L
- $-15.89
- Volume
- $6.3k
- Markets traded
- 206
- Open portfolio
- $283.27
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded206
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the biggest earthquake on September 28, 2026 be 5.7 to 5.8? · No | 0.960 | 0.982 | $152.13 | +$3.38 |
| Will the biggest earthquake on September 28, 2026 be under 5.3? · No | 0.963 | 1.000 | $81.07 | +$2.93 |
| Will the biggest earthquake on September 28, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.995 | $49.73 | +$10.72 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.035 | $0.34 | −$1.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$49.52at 0.727Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?
- +$14.70at 0.971Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?
- +$7.39at 0.986Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?
- +$5.64at 0.969Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?
- +$5.50at 0.290Will the biggest earthquake on September 28, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 05:10 | Will the biggest earthquake on September 28, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 09-29 00:29 | Will the biggest earthquake on September 28, 2026 be 5.7 to 5.8? | BUY | 0.98 | $117.60 |
| 09-28 23:48 | Will the biggest earthquake on September 28, 2026 be 5.7 to 5.8? | BUY | 0.89 | $31.15 |
| 09-28 23:46 | Will the biggest earthquake on September 28, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4? | BUY | 0.79 | $23.70 |
| 09-28 15:31 | Will the biggest earthquake on September 28, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4? | BUY | 0.54 | $5.40 |
| 09-28 13:15 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | SELL | 0.37 | $3.70 |
| 09-28 12:11 | Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.998 | $29.77 |
| 09-28 11:08 | Will the biggest earthquake on September 28, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4? | SELL | 0.44 | $17.60 |
| 09-28 10:33 | Will the biggest earthquake on September 28, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4? | BUY | 0.28 | $11.20 |
| 09-28 10:30 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | SELL | 0.4 | $6.00 |
| 09-28 06:14 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.28 | $4.20 |
| 09-28 06:01 | Will the biggest earthquake on September 28, 2026 be under 5.3? | BUY | 0.982 | $39.38 |
| 09-28 05:33 | Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.9980290634 | $154.19 |
| 09-28 05:29 | Will the biggest earthquake on September 28, 2026 be under 5.3? | BUY | 0.9451207023 | $38.76 |
| 09-27 21:14 | Will the biggest earthquake on September 27, 2026 be 6.1 or more? | BUY | 0.98 | $49.00 |