PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Fuffe

0xf9e4fb97f36e885673abc6faf35ed0aac190ce9d

Realised P&L
$-2.89
Volume
$58.15
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$27.11

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Canada admitted to the EU before 2029? · No0.8000.835$4.17+$0.17
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7580.765$4.04+$0.04
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? · No0.9230.978$2.12+$0.12
Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31? · No0.9000.925$2.06+$0.06
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.7800.945$1.21+$0.21
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? · Yes0.8200.940$1.15+$0.15
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.9200.989$1.07+$0.07
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · No0.9000.955$1.06+$0.06
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9300.971$1.04+$0.04
Will Alberta join the US? · No0.9590.990$1.03+$0.03
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.9360.964$1.03+$0.03
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? · No0.9400.968$1.03+$0.03
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · No0.9000.925$1.03+$0.03
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.952$1.02+$0.02
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.945$1.02+$0.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 11:35NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
08-26 13:01Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31?BUY0.8679995695$1.00
08-14 10:55NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9299999907$1.00
08-14 10:54US military draft authorized in 2026?BUY0.9519991546$1.00
08-14 10:52Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?BUY0.95$1.00
08-14 10:50Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?BUY0.9659996426$1.00
08-14 10:48Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31?BUY0.9339999682$1.00
07-28 07:03Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.9459994078$1.00
07-28 06:58Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9299999907$1.00
07-28 06:48NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?BUY0.95$1.00
07-28 06:47NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.719999856$1.00
07-19 22:34Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?BUY0.4899998285$1.00
06-29 05:54NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8$1.00
06-28 06:14Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?BUY0.883999947$1.00
06-25 11:14World Cup: Will the USA Play Iran?BUY0.9399999624$1.00