0xF829E5588834F3b94d926CE7c0B93995111f91ec-1780245877615
0xf829e5588834f3b94d926ce7c0b93995111f91ec
- Realised P&L
- $61.81
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $215.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$61.43at 0.140Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
- +$40.00at 0.200Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$6.80at 0.746Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
- +$5.87at 0.630US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
- +$3.51at 0.740Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 22:40 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9199999963 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 22:04 | Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | BUY | 0.9619999367 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 21:59 | US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 21:59 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.8699999678 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 21:59 | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | BUY | 0.9199999963 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 21:58 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.75 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 21:49 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.8859999956 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 21:48 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | BUY | 0.8699999678 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 21:47 | Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%? | BUY | 0.8699999983 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 21:44 | Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%? | BUY | 0.6839999803 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 21:43 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m? | BUY | 0.8399999966 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 21:41 | Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election? | BUY | 0.699999993 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 21:41 | Will Fiona Ma win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999154 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 21:41 | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.9339999105 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 21:40 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027? | BUY | 0.9336371403 | $10.00 |