PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xF829E5588834F3b94d926CE7c0B93995111f91ec-1780245877615

0xf829e5588834f3b94d926ce7c0b93995111f91ec

Realised P&L
$28.45
Volume
$2.4k
Markets traded
47
Open portfolio
$205.16

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded47
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 20:51Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?SELL0.38$3.40
09-21 08:36Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.207$9.50
09-21 08:36Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%?SELL0.44$5.06
09-04 20:54Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.49$9.07
08-31 20:41Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?BUY0.5699999059$2.00
08-31 20:38US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?SELL0.13$1.88
08-27 09:42Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.018$0.77
08-27 09:42Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election?SELL0.16$2.28
08-23 22:03Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.88999998$4.00
08-23 21:47Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.8399999664$10.00
08-23 21:46NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.75$10.00
08-06 20:40Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.4389999808$10.00
08-06 16:21Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.217999986$10.00
08-04 20:04US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?BUY0.6899999393$10.00
08-01 22:40Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9199999963$10.00