PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xF829E5588834F3b94d926CE7c0B93995111f91ec-1780245877615

0xf829e5588834f3b94d926ce7c0b93995111f91ec

Realised P&L
$61.81
Volume
$2.1k
Markets traded
41
Open portfolio
$215.22

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded41
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 22:40Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9199999963$10.00
08-01 22:04Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?BUY0.9619999367$10.00
08-01 21:59US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?BUY0.8$10.00
08-01 21:59Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?BUY0.8699999678$10.00
08-01 21:59Will Russia invade another country in 2026?BUY0.9199999963$10.00
08-01 21:58Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.75$10.00
08-01 21:49Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.8859999956$10.00
08-01 21:48Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?BUY0.8699999678$10.00
08-01 21:47Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%?BUY0.8699999983$10.00
08-01 21:44Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?BUY0.6839999803$10.00
08-01 21:43Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?BUY0.8399999966$10.00
08-01 21:41Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election?BUY0.699999993$10.00
08-01 21:41Will Fiona Ma win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.9299999154$10.00
08-01 21:41Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.9339999105$10.00
08-01 21:40Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?BUY0.9336371403$10.00