Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.07 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.75 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01
Resolves by: https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto
Rewards: 0 min size · 0¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.028. down 0.005 over the period, from 0.033. Range 0.028 to 0.038. 149 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.028	1,731	1,731
0.029	1,929	3,660
0.030	10	3,670
0.031	10	3,680
0.032	10	3,690
0.033	110	3,800
0.034	2,110	5,910
0.035	7,168	13,078
0.036	2,510	15,588
0.037	510	16,098
0.038	220	16,318
0.039	1,536	17,854

Spread0.001Mid0.028

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.027	35,259	35,259
0.026	13,988	49,247
0.025	53,010	102,257
0.024	8,083	110,340
0.023	51,764	162,105
0.022	425	162,530
0.021	52,152	214,682
0.020	6,767	221,449
0.019	51,600	273,049
0.017	50,630	323,679
0.015	51,565	375,244
0.013	960	376,204

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.973	35,259	35,259
0.974	13,988	49,247
0.975	53,010	102,257
0.976	8,083	110,340
0.977	51,764	162,105
0.978	425	162,530
0.979	52,152	214,682
0.980	6,767	221,449
0.981	51,600	273,049
0.983	50,630	323,679
0.985	51,565	375,244
0.987	960	376,204

Spread0.001Mid0.972

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.972	1,731	1,731
0.971	1,929	3,660
0.970	10	3,670
0.969	10	3,680
0.968	10	3,690
0.967	110	3,800
0.966	2,110	5,910
0.965	7,168	13,078
0.964	2,510	15,588
0.963	510	16,098
0.962	220	16,318
0.961	1,536	17,854

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Bumblefrog	Yes	299,589.08
kkkkkkkkkkkkkkkk	Yes	283,846.81
sumipumi777	Yes	197,837.02
765g567	Yes	177,972.93
Favorto	Yes	155,865.12
Dertp	Yes	97,413.17
0x6b444d1fD65EEDC80406a693C1e332F95f9430f4-1769257551164	Yes	26,531.5
gjj7tbmkk763ggg	Yes	21,378.51
Taurusss	Yes	18,154.7
0x1592…bc9f	Yes	17,727.71
0x8508f4b41F9C6D636043B2c058acaAc79Ea99fda-1765369540606	Yes	13,868.51
0x965a189328f6ee6B67d9997bB7ab38630729246F-1767016328870	Yes	11,872
0xe3b8…6eee	Yes	10,696.17
asxdcfvbn	Yes	9,717.98
ImJustKen	Yes	8,398.24
illumination	Yes	7,500
Karimovsb	Yes	6,089.1
0x12B908875cdeF3905aa6C58830ae0042B32729eA-1769248814365	Yes	5,909.98
echk	Yes	5,635.56
CryptoGo	Yes	5,000

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
20:40:21	SELL	No	0.972	0	$0.06
20:40:21	SELL	No	0.972	0	$0.14
20:40:21	SELL	No	0.972	0	$0.02
20:40:21	SELL	No	0.972	0	$0.02
20:40:21	SELL	No	0.972	0	$0.02
20:40:21	SELL	No	0.972	0	$0.02
20:40:21	SELL	No	0.972	0	$0.01
20:40:21	SELL	No	0.972	0	$0.03
20:40:21	SELL	No	0.972	0	$0.18
20:40:19	BUY	No	0.973	250	$243.25
20:10:21	SELL	No	0.972	0	$0.06
20:10:19	SELL	No	0.972	0	$0.03
20:10:19	SELL	No	0.972	0	$0.01
20:10:19	SELL	No	0.972	0	$0.14
20:10:19	SELL	No	0.972	0	$0.02
20:10:19	SELL	No	0.972	0	$0.02
20:10:19	SELL	No	0.972	0	$0.02
20:10:19	SELL	No	0.972	0	$0.02
20:10:18	BUY	No	0.973	250	$243.25
19:55:19	BUY	Yes	0.028	929	$26.00
19:40:19	SELL	No	0.972	0	$0.06
19:40:19	SELL	No	0.972	0	$0.12
19:40:18	BUY	No	0.973	250	$243.25
19:40:18	SELL	No	0.972	0	$0.02
19:40:18	SELL	No	0.972	0	$0.01