Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.07 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.75 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01
Rewards: 0 min size · 0¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.043. down 0.002 over the period, from 0.044. Range 0.043 to 0.046. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.043	365	365
0.044	14,918	15,283
0.045	2,654	17,937
0.046	4,950	22,887
0.047	6,687	29,574
0.049	10	29,584
0.050	320	29,904
0.051	1,600	31,504
0.059	21	31,525
0.061	186	31,711
0.063	5	31,716
0.065	128	31,844

Spread0.001Mid0.042

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.042	9,972	9,972
0.041	1,123	11,095
0.040	5,148	16,243
0.039	20	16,263
0.037	209	16,472
0.035	620	17,092
0.033	320	17,412
0.032	281	17,693
0.031	1,525	19,218
0.030	5,266	24,485
0.029	20	24,505
0.027	520	25,025

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.958	9,972	9,972
0.959	1,123	11,095
0.960	5,148	16,243
0.961	20	16,263
0.963	209	16,472
0.965	620	17,092
0.967	320	17,412
0.968	281	17,693
0.969	1,525	19,218
0.970	5,266	24,485
0.971	20	24,505
0.973	520	25,025

Spread0.001Mid0.958

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.957	365	365
0.956	14,918	15,283
0.955	2,654	17,937
0.954	4,950	22,887
0.953	6,687	29,574
0.951	10	29,584
0.950	320	29,904
0.949	1,600	31,504
0.941	21	31,525
0.939	186	31,711
0.937	5	31,716
0.935	128	31,844

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Bumblefrog	Yes	299,589.08
kkkkkkkkkkkkkkkk	Yes	283,846.81
sumipumi777	Yes	197,837.02
765g567	Yes	177,972.93
Favorto	Yes	155,865.12
Dertp	Yes	97,413.17
0x6b444d1fD65EEDC80406a693C1e332F95f9430f4-1769257551164	Yes	26,531.5
gjj7tbmkk763ggg	Yes	14,434.12
0x8508f4b41F9C6D636043B2c058acaAc79Ea99fda-1765369540606	Yes	13,868.51
market.insider	Yes	12,509.41
0x965a189328f6ee6B67d9997bB7ab38630729246F-1767016328870	Yes	11,872
0xe3b8…6eee	Yes	10,696.17
asxdcfvbn	Yes	9,717.98
0x1592…bc9f	Yes	9,695.64
ImJustKen	Yes	8,398.24
Taurusss	Yes	7,058.91
Karimovsb	Yes	6,089.1
0x12B908875cdeF3905aa6C58830ae0042B32729eA-1769248814365	Yes	5,909.98
echk	Yes	5,635.56
CryptoGo	Yes	5,000

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
02:59:01	SELL	No	0.956	2	$2.00
02:00:40	BUY	No	0.957	3,821	$3657.17
01:50:04	BUY	No	0.957	159	$152.16
01:37:09	SELL	No	0.956	105	$100.57
00:45:57	BUY	No	0.957	126	$120.65
23:57:55	BUY	No	0.957	3,000	$2871.00
21:45:03	BUY	No	0.957	370	$354.09
21:44:28	BUY	No	0.957	2,500	$2392.50
21:26:51	SELL	No	0.956	1,200	$1147.20
18:53:39	SELL	Yes	0.043	1,198	$51.52
18:17:37	SELL	No	0.956	5	$5.00
14:14:39	SELL	No	0.956	592	$566.12
12:40:42	SELL	Yes	0.043	39	$1.66
12:33:25	SELL	No	0.956	10	$10.00
09:44:16	SELL	No	0.956	1	$0.96
08:42:51	BUY	No	0.957	120	$115.29
08:38:54	BUY	No	0.957	21	$20.33
07:45:31	SELL	No	0.956	5	$5.15
04:22:40	BUY	No	0.9569991569	1	$1.00
03:25:21	SELL	No	0.956	1	$0.48
01:47:09	SELL	No	0.956	8	$7.38
01:42:10	SELL	No	0.956	5	$5.17
01:39:49	SELL	No	0.956	27	$25.59
01:19:15	SELL	No	0.956	28	$27.08
00:57:25	SELL	No	0.956	10	$10.00