PolyBot

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Traders

Twei

0xecb95c5aba59f5bd31da27a4f80ca79bfc15bdd4

Realised P&L
$2.4k
Volume
$159.0k
Markets traded
96
Open portfolio
$9.8k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded96
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9450.981$4.3k+$156.28
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? · No0.9100.925$1.2k+$18.90
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · No0.8100.905$852.16+$89.34
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.8081.000$758.26+$145.49
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.9590.972$485.76+$6.25
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9650.966$477.69+$0.45
US recession by end of 2026? · No0.9200.945$330.75+$8.75
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.6670.555$240.35−$48.71
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be at least $6.50T at the end of 2026? · No0.8100.940$224.31+$31.02
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026? · No0.9320.946$202.61+$2.93
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.9580.974$194.70+$3.10
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.9520.961$192.11+$1.60
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.9500.945$189.00−$1.00
Leopold Aschenbrenner charged by December 31, 2027? · No0.7200.730$136.66+$1.87
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7750.922$70.41+$11.26

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-26 14:30Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?BUY0.91$444.05
10-23 01:18Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?BUY0.91$27.30
10-23 01:16Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?BUY0.91$200.20
10-23 00:54Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?BUY0.9099999991$20.00
10-22 17:55Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.959$479.50
10-22 17:52Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.967$191.22
10-20 02:50Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?SELL0.82$559.65
10-15 11:57Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL0.971$2.0k
10-14 13:41Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.972$97.20
10-12 14:29US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?BUY0.937$13.29
10-12 14:28Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.72$72.00
10-07 13:58Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.955$95.50
10-07 13:52Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?BUY0.95$190.00
10-07 13:22Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?BUY0.8$80.00
10-07 13:22US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?BUY0.932$186.40