marketgravity
0xae73605e292f7a6efc60006de5d94d2f7d6d09fa
- Realised P&L
- $-760.50
- Volume
- $7.9k
- Markets traded
- 134
- Open portfolio
- $63.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded134
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$103.88at 0.760Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 12?
- +$39.31at 0.898Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 18?
- +$33.12at 0.901Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 16?
- +$27.47at 0.829Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 10?
- +$24.18at 0.806Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on August 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-20 12:48 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 20? | BUY | 0.916462416 | $99.61 |
| 08-19 13:31 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 19? | BUY | 0.695625 | $55.65 |
| 08-19 13:00 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 19? | BUY | 0.7693456 | $48.08 |
| 08-19 12:30 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 19? | BUY | 0.7391599462 | $43.99 |
| 08-19 12:19 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 19? | SELL | 0.77 | $4.18 |
| 08-19 12:18 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 19? | BUY | 0.9038241718 | $49.66 |
| 08-19 12:18 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 19? | BUY | 0.89 | $49.44 |
| 08-19 12:17 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 19? | BUY | 0.8560606061 | $28.25 |
| 08-19 12:11 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 19? | BUY | 0.97 | $49.99 |
| 08-19 12:11 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 19? | BUY | 0.97 | $5.00 |
| 08-19 11:02 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 19? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.94 |
| 08-19 11:02 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 19? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.94 |
| 08-19 08:14 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 19? | BUY | 0.94 | $4.94 |
| 08-19 08:14 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 19? | BUY | 0.94 | $4.94 |
| 08-19 08:14 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 19? | BUY | 0.94 | $4.94 |