PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

marketgravity

0xae73605e292f7a6efc60006de5d94d2f7d6d09fa

Realised P&L
$-760.50
Volume
$7.9k
Markets traded
134
Open portfolio
$63.64

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-9.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded134
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0270.030$8.77+$0.91
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · No0.5100.835$8.35+$3.25
OpenAI IPO before 2027? · No0.2500.973$8.20+$6.09
Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31? · Yes0.8950.765$8.19$1.39
Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31? · Yes0.4590.260$7.39$5.65
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.1200.100$3.85$0.77
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.8200.715$2.95$0.43
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · Yes0.2000.115$2.88$2.13
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? · No0.4600.750$2.83+$1.09
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0690.030$1.91$2.44
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0110.007$1.88$0.97
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0170.005$1.38$2.80
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? · Yes0.3400.195$0.97$0.72
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · Yes0.2700.175$0.88$0.47
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.2200.065$0.65$1.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-20 12:48Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 20?BUY0.916462416$99.61
08-19 13:31Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 19?BUY0.695625$55.65
08-19 13:00Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 19?BUY0.7693456$48.08
08-19 12:30Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 19?BUY0.7391599462$43.99
08-19 12:19Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 19?SELL0.77$4.18
08-19 12:18Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 19?BUY0.9038241718$49.66
08-19 12:18Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 19?BUY0.89$49.44
08-19 12:17Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 19?BUY0.8560606061$28.25
08-19 12:11Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 19?BUY0.97$49.99
08-19 12:11Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 19?BUY0.97$5.00
08-19 11:02Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 19?BUY0.95$4.94
08-19 11:02Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 19?BUY0.95$4.94
08-19 08:14Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 19?BUY0.94$4.94
08-19 08:14Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 19?BUY0.94$4.94
08-19 08:14Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 19?BUY0.94$4.94