Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-08-31
Resolves by: https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.025. down 0.011 over the period, from 0.036. Range 0.017 to 0.137. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.032	20	20
0.033	652	672
0.034	150	822
0.037	200	1,022
0.055	40	1,062
0.056	30	1,092
0.058	70	1,162
0.064	45	1,207
0.065	15	1,222
0.069	20	1,242
0.070	158	1,400
0.106	56	1,456

Spread0.013Mid0.026

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.019	30	30
0.018	204	234
0.017	847	1,081
0.016	1,117	2,198
0.015	70	2,268
0.012	34	2,302
0.011	115	2,417
0.010	577	2,994
0.009	1,111	4,105
0.008	5,346	9,451
0.006	1,327	10,778
0.005	8,646	19,424

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.981	30	30
0.982	204	234
0.983	847	1,081
0.984	1,117	2,198
0.985	70	2,268
0.988	34	2,302
0.989	115	2,417
0.990	577	2,994
0.991	1,111	4,105
0.992	5,346	9,451
0.994	1,327	10,778
0.995	8,646	19,424

Spread0.013Mid0.974

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.968	20	20
0.967	652	672
0.966	150	822
0.963	200	1,022
0.945	40	1,062
0.944	30	1,092
0.942	70	1,162
0.936	45	1,207
0.935	15	1,222
0.931	20	1,242
0.930	158	1,400
0.894	56	1,456

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
laffett	Yes	5,999.98
0x652bFf901f401Fdhsk342kdjfnfk029abks13	Yes	2,885.88
taerv534	Yes	2,722.9
alphahustle	Yes	2,367.58
LornaPredicts	Yes	1,199.45
SlayerH	Yes	983.21
donthackme	Yes	740.7
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495	Yes	713.78
0xee67…67a6	Yes	652.07
leisiyu	Yes	637.77
ThomasStreet	Yes	500
planktonXD	Yes	467.99
0x4444000000RLU	Yes	420.14
0x2E1C6E971cff5c3259090d3dEa7802A15e4eDB61-1779115991589	Yes	326.71
0x14695Cd5083bED3791447ef6096B8f9aC1AA30c0-1773743331035	Yes	300
aeonwins	Yes	299.5
Hot-Skull	Yes	287.63
lllyyycccc	Yes	282.79
Alarak	Yes	220.29
rocky42022	Yes	206.88

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
07:08:17	BUY	No	0.98	20	$19.60
07:07:51	BUY	No	0.9819999996	37	$36.35
07:07:47	BUY	No	0.982	10	$9.82
07:07:47	BUY	No	0.9817763571	280	$274.90
07:07:47	BUY	No	0.9797975294	188	$183.89
07:07:45	BUY	No	0.9730641658	30	$29.57
07:07:45	BUY	No	0.968	100	$96.80
07:07:45	BUY	No	0.968	135	$130.68
07:07:45	BUY	No	0.968	30	$29.04
06:16:53	BUY	Yes	0.032	20	$0.64
04:15:44	BUY	Yes	0.033	31	$1.02
04:07:12	BUY	No	0.9770142366	244	$238.82
04:06:09	BUY	No	0.974	112	$109.09
03:47:50	BUY	No	0.974	5	$4.87
03:46:50	BUY	No	0.974	27	$26.30
03:45:00	BUY	No	0.9739999996	50	$48.69
03:44:33	BUY	No	0.974	12	$11.59
03:43:23	BUY	No	0.974	50	$48.70
03:42:14	BUY	No	0.973	10	$9.73
03:42:14	BUY	No	0.9735178787	124	$121.15
03:42:14	BUY	No	0.973	30	$29.19
03:24:47	BUY	No	0.9739999996	55	$53.97
03:18:03	BUY	No	0.974	18	$17.04
03:17:54	BUY	No	0.974	15	$14.61
03:16:30	BUY	Yes	0.0236349206	32	$0.74