PolyBot

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Will a 8.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by November 30?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-01
Resolves by
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/
Rewards
20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.12. down 0.12 over the period, from 0.23. Range 0.12 to 0.23. 51 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.135555
0.14137192
0.1518210
0.2520230
0.455235
0.59497732
0.983,0003,732
0.99503,782

Spread0.03Mid0.12

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.10103103
0.08136239
0.0760299
0.0376375
0.0150425

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.90103103
0.92136239
0.9360299
0.9776375
0.9950425

Spread0.03Mid0.89

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.875555
0.86137192
0.8518210
0.7520230
0.555235
0.41497732
0.023,0003,732
0.01503,782

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
xtxpleasecallmeYes168.23
tradetosurvive1Yes35
nagibator01Yes31.06
Numitus1994Yes21
richyeeYes18
CarabaoYes14.77
cyberpunk7077Yes5
KiruaTradingNo201
greden22No76
DowJones2No11.06
buyat89No5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
10:23:49BUYNo0.8660$51.60
10:13:49BUYNo0.8660$51.60
10:09:48BUYYes0.1732$5.44
10:03:49BUYYes0.1221$2.52
09:57:22BUYNo0.865$4.30
09:57:10BUYNo0.866$5.21
09:56:45BUYYes0.215$1.05
09:54:10BUYYes0.1360$7.80
09:36:37BUYYes0.1720$3.44
09:23:22SELLNo0.80$0.18
09:23:21SELLYes0.1620$3.20
09:23:21BUYNo0.839999994120$17.00
09:23:21BUYNo0.8420$16.80
09:23:19BUYNo0.8420$16.80
09:23:18SELLYes0.1620$3.20
17:23:06BUYNo0.902631578976$68.60