PolyBot

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Traders

0x9a715ec671b299b0f70623531c532c8de1883020

0x9a715ec671b299b0f70623531c532c8de1883020

Realised P&L
$-11.47
Volume
$1.1k
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$27.47

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.6200.365$7.17−$5.01
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0080.009$5.10+$0.19
Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027? · No0.5950.600$2.02+$0.02
Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026? · Yes0.4060.365$1.80−$0.20
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.0910.077$1.69−$0.31
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4870.260$1.60−$1.40
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5400.695$1.29+$0.29
Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? · No0.7170.922$1.29+$0.29
Will OpenAI be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)? · No0.8300.927$1.12+$0.12
Will OpenAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026? · No0.9500.952$1.00+$0.00
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner · Shopify Rebellion0.5600.535$0.96−$0.04
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.7800.700$0.90−$0.10
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0920.070$0.76−$0.24
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.1400.075$0.54−$0.46
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.0490.013$0.26−$0.74

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 21:30LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.559999776$1.00
09-22 15:16LoL: Skillcamp Esport vs Lodis - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.8099999352$1.00
09-21 16:03LoL: SU Esports vs Verdant - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.7099999843$1.36
09-19 15:19LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.7099999095$1.49
09-18 16:31Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.008$3.91
09-18 15:31Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.43$3.46
09-18 15:12Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.43$0.00
09-18 14:45Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.43$0.01
09-18 14:39Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.0089999999$1.00
09-18 14:38Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.43$0.30
09-18 14:31Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.43$0.60
09-18 14:28Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.43$1.23
09-18 05:14Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026?BUY0.4499998425$1.00
09-17 14:19Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026?BUY0.3699999593$1.00
09-17 12:59Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?BUY0.59999988$1.00