chrisanker
0x8c2a9c03a3d82eab08a0c8b08e3fcde184578d45
- Realised P&L
- $20.75
- Volume
- $3.3k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $117.01
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration82.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)12.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.41at 0.080Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
- +$3.59at 0.600OpenAI browser by October 31?
- +$-5.00at 0.027Fed rate hike in 2025?
- +$-5.00at 0.021Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2025?
- +$-5.00at 0.024Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with President of Finland on Oct 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-10 13:27 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0119265938 | $1.00 |
| 03-20 21:57 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0421642958 | $5.00 |
| 03-20 21:56 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 03-20 21:56 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0357040845 | $5.00 |
| 03-20 21:56 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0324050425 | $5.00 |
| 03-20 21:56 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.079394718 | $5.00 |
| 03-20 21:41 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.3405473016 | $21.45 |
| 10-28 16:28 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31? | BUY | 0.42 | $5.04 |
| 10-28 16:25 | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 10-23 11:02 | Will Powell say "Unemployment" or "Employment" 25+ times during October press conference? | BUY | 0.13 | $5.20 |
| 10-23 10:56 | Will no one dissent October Fed decision? | BUY | 0.09 | $5.04 |
| 10-21 18:00 | OpenAI browser by October 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $8.99 |
| 10-19 15:48 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31? | BUY | 0.23 | $5.06 |
| 10-18 09:38 | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.009 | $5.04 |
| 10-18 09:37 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.04 |