Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-31

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.004. down 0.002 over the period, from 0.005. Range 0.004 to 0.005. 144 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.004	16,023	16,023
0.005	245	16,269
0.006	2,000	18,269
0.010	5,780	24,049
0.012	500	24,549
0.014	40	24,589
0.015	1,150	25,739
0.018	80	25,819
0.019	50	25,869
0.020	930	26,799
0.023	158	26,957
0.024	45	27,002

Spread0.001Mid0.004

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.003	104,671	104,671
0.002	65,088	169,759
0.001	2,030,622	2,200,381

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.997	104,671	104,671
0.998	65,088	169,759
0.999	2,030,622	2,200,381

Spread0.001Mid0.996

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.996	16,023	16,023
0.995	245	16,269
0.994	2,000	18,269
0.990	5,780	24,049
0.988	500	24,549
0.986	40	24,589
0.985	1,150	25,739
0.982	80	25,819
0.981	50	25,869
0.980	930	26,799
0.977	158	26,957
0.976	45	27,002

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Wojtek	Yes	106,724.72
yoyo123	Yes	99,234.88
Misterxqt	Yes	88,320.32
ImJustKen	Yes	55,895.31
0xaa06…1e0f	Yes	52,733.58
Ideal	Yes	50,750.38
Joebama	Yes	45,000.23
zenosnl11	Yes	40,000
xvsp	Yes	29,273.26
Copezilla	Yes	25,097.4
augustine314	Yes	18,981.19
zenosnl	Yes	18,000
chuanwen	Yes	13,705
IP1380	Yes	13,003.28
mafomo	Yes	12,925.52
0xA3De21C8e8248a3bcCFEc6b68E33d4504802111A-1783087526101	Yes	12,500
immanuelcan	Yes	12,440.76
0xbfa9…3bdf	Yes	11,900
0x31644149Cc87BCbf70D987A0d94885902A7202BA-1757873083804	Yes	11,794.99
YasZoso	Yes	11,722.25

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
04:52:00	SELL	No	0.996	2	$2.39
04:09:45	SELL	No	0.996	306	$305.00
03:46:15	BUY	No	0.9969999993	2	$1.53
03:26:20	SELL	No	0.996	1	$0.75
02:54:21	BUY	No	0.997	69	$68.79
02:54:21	BUY	No	0.997	50	$49.86
02:45:51	SELL	No	0.996	1	$0.75
02:03:50	SELL	No	0.996	0	$0.12
01:26:39	SELL	No	0.996	0	$0.09
00:58:09	BUY	Yes	0.004	1,250	$5.00
00:47:23	SELL	No	0.996	1	$1.05
00:23:27	BUY	No	0.997	2	$2.40
00:21:36	SELL	No	0.996	2	$2.21
00:21:08	BUY	No	0.997	2	$2.40
00:19:14	SELL	No	0.996	2	$2.23
00:18:42	BUY	No	0.997	2	$2.40
23:15:54	SELL	No	0.996	5	$5.08
22:50:20	BUY	No	0.9969999995	2	$2.15
20:07:21	BUY	No	0.9969999991	2	$2.26
19:52:30	SELL	Yes	0.003	247	$0.74
19:47:39	SELL	Yes	0.003	234	$0.70
19:44:26	SELL	Yes	0.003	75	$0.22
19:19:47	BUY	No	0.997	2	$1.67
15:38:23	SELL	No	0.996	0	$0.21
15:36:06	SELL	No	0.996	2	$1.67