PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x7cca8193febae6342152e99339bb8d321a0880dc

Realised P&L
$17.81
Volume
$353.33
Markets traded
40
Open portfolio
$97.66

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded40
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9040.962$39.45+$2.34
US x China Military clash before 2027? · No0.9400.974$14.65+$0.50
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · No0.8600.945$10.93+$0.98
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? · No0.8900.925$6.91+$0.26
Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026? · No0.8900.940$6.15+$0.33
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026? · No0.8500.680$3.84$0.96
Will Hesai be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? · No0.7800.825$3.79+$0.21
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? · No0.9700.997$3.61+$0.10
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes0.9100.970$2.13+$0.13
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.8200.890$1.09+$0.09
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.9300.976$1.05+$0.05
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.9200.955$1.04+$0.04
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? · Yes0.9300.956$1.03+$0.03
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9550.964$1.01+$0.01
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? · Anthropic0.9510.938$0.99$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-02 06:39Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.91$2.00
09-02 06:36Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?BUY0.9299999907$1.00
09-02 06:36Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.9549999952$1.00
09-02 06:34Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.919999448$1.00
09-02 06:34Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.8199999836$1.00
09-01 22:43Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?BUY0.9509999905$1.00
09-01 21:59Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.9299999907$1.00
09-01 21:58Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4199998236$1.00
08-01 20:24Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.7699998848$1.47
08-01 20:23Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 15?BUY0.479999952$2.00
08-01 20:19US x China tariff agreement by August 31?BUY0.9669999954$3.58
08-01 20:18Will Hesai be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?BUY0.7799998344$3.58
08-01 20:14Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?BUY0.9569999976$3.58
08-01 20:12Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8499999203$4.80
07-01 21:14Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?BUY0.8899999969$5.82