Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-09-30
Resolves by: https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.85. up 0.20 over the period, from 0.65. Range 0.55 to 0.85. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.86	98	98
0.87	84	182
0.88	556	738
0.89	401	1,139
0.90	306	1,445
0.91	372	1,818
0.92	6	1,823
0.93	243	2,066
0.94	386	2,452
0.95	200	2,652
0.96	262	2,914
0.97	341	3,255

Spread0.01Mid0.85

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.85	77	77
0.84	102	179
0.83	126	305
0.82	20	325
0.80	128	453
0.79	500	953
0.76	14	968
0.75	16	984
0.72	67	1,051
0.71	235	1,286
0.66	21	1,307
0.63	5	1,312

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.15	77	77
0.16	102	179
0.17	126	305
0.18	20	325
0.20	128	453
0.21	500	953
0.24	14	968
0.25	16	984
0.28	67	1,051
0.29	235	1,286
0.34	21	1,307
0.37	5	1,312

Spread0.01Mid0.15

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.14	98	98
0.13	84	182
0.12	556	738
0.11	401	1,139
0.10	306	1,445
0.09	372	1,818
0.08	6	1,823
0.07	243	2,066
0.06	386	2,452
0.05	200	2,652
0.04	262	2,914
0.03	341	3,255

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Investnow	Yes	5,062.01
gackson	Yes	258
Skolk	Yes	133.33
HerrieDavis	Yes	111.94
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495	Yes	92
parameter1	Yes	83.1
barnettdebra	Yes	41.17
0x5941eAB72cFC412992FAF28B20bDD76597DB92b1-1780836908666	Yes	40.2
LeecoTradeHappy	Yes	40
monoclith	Yes	20
0xed23…9d69	Yes	20
Masonclarke.mj	Yes	13.79
0xd656A2aCF3C41F1D9DdD540632F4Fa85AFAb22aa-1772910570494	Yes	12.99
Hot-Skull	Yes	5.68
VoidReader	Yes	5.33
0x7115ce11b9027F934180aCBeb450760112D90489-1773124919971	Yes	4.65
0xf6f83E6BC38f079342D032D5016c760C614e5508-1782694884229	Yes	4.62
Olma	Yes	4
teamok	Yes	3.9
mustbethewater	Yes	3.7

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
05:15:41	SELL	No	0.14	22	$3.12
04:54:32	SELL	No	0.16	70	$11.20
04:19:59	SELL	No	0.16	10	$1.60
03:30:48	SELL	No	0.17	40	$6.80
03:30:47	SELL	No	0.185	40	$7.40
03:30:42	SELL	No	0.198900756	804	$159.97
03:15:51	SELL	No	0.22	29	$6.35
03:15:41	BUY	No	0.2299999102	8	$1.92
03:15:32	SELL	Yes	0.77	0	$0.28
03:15:24	SELL	No	0.21	13	$2.77
03:15:23	SELL	No	0.21	3	$0.69
03:15:23	BUY	Yes	0.7857374072	70	$55.30
03:15:23	SELL	No	0.2210402039	192	$42.50
03:15:23	BUY	No	0.22	48	$10.50
02:58:00	SELL	No	0.23	20	$4.60
02:57:57	SELL	No	0.24	20	$4.80
02:29:53	SELL	No	0.2522988506	44	$10.98
02:29:53	SELL	No	0.26	10	$2.60
02:26:59	SELL	No	0.2508333333	120	$30.10
02:26:57	SELL	No	0.26	40	$10.40
02:26:56	BUY	No	0.2731034483	29	$7.92
02:26:56	SELL	No	0.26	120	$31.20
02:26:54	BUY	No	0.27	40	$10.80
00:38:26	SELL	No	0.25	20	$5.00
00:38:24	SELL	No	0.25	20	$5.00