Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-01
Resolves by: https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.88. up 0.15 over the period, from 0.73. Range 0.69 to 0.92. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.88	180	180
0.89	170	350
0.90	404	754
0.91	537	1,291
0.92	524	1,815
0.93	1,853	3,668
0.94	1,674	5,342
0.95	2,503	7,844
0.96	3,647	11,492
0.97	3,187	14,678
0.98	6,874	21,553
0.99	8,719	30,272

Spread0.01Mid0.88

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.87	1,068	1,068
0.86	490	1,558
0.85	176	1,735
0.81	146	1,880
0.80	31	1,911
0.78	20	1,931
0.75	11	1,942
0.74	90	2,032
0.73	400	2,432
0.71	94	2,527
0.70	586	3,112
0.60	99	3,211

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.13	1,068	1,068
0.14	490	1,558
0.15	176	1,735
0.19	146	1,880
0.20	31	1,911
0.22	20	1,931
0.25	11	1,942
0.26	90	2,032
0.27	400	2,432
0.29	94	2,527
0.30	586	3,112
0.40	99	3,211

Spread0.01Mid0.13

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.12	180	180
0.11	170	350
0.10	404	754
0.09	537	1,291
0.08	524	1,815
0.07	1,853	3,668
0.06	1,674	5,342
0.05	2,503	7,844
0.04	3,647	11,492
0.03	3,187	14,678
0.02	6,874	21,553
0.01	8,719	30,272

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Investnow	Yes	7,161.34
1660S.eth	Yes	4,015.93
0xB52245e13Bb87b4f2db64c13A9F761222E323eBb-1772155836970	Yes	3,960.92
Ru386	Yes	3,087.06
insosmoke	Yes	2,795.96
tms2016	Yes	1,689.26
RobberBaronn	Yes	1,400.45
CryptoBizzi2	Yes	1,300
0x97CF8743dDF387dB269A76941B6aF1d26974c6eb-1769747285159	Yes	1,221.47
0x8804…f0a7	Yes	1,208.06
scottxia1988	Yes	1,199.98
bartholomew31	Yes	995
Kingheep	Yes	888.56
ggdajiba	Yes	701.8
pykue	Yes	685
momo513	Yes	600
xiaoyua	Yes	594.42
qianyi2026	Yes	560.55
danbiqianwan	Yes	517.87
btfrs	Yes	480.33

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
20:41:22	SELL	Yes	0.87	1	$1.09
20:35:42	SELL	Yes	0.87	1	$1.11
18:59:33	BUY	Yes	0.88	19	$16.37
18:02:46	BUY	No	0.12	29	$3.47
17:28:54	SELL	Yes	0.88	0	$0.18
17:23:39	SELL	Yes	0.88	0	$0.42
17:22:25	SELL	No	0.11	23	$2.50
17:22:22	BUY	Yes	0.8899999982	23	$20.23
17:20:37	SELL	Yes	0.88	30	$26.40
16:30:52	BUY	No	0.12	51	$6.12
15:31:57	BUY	Yes	0.89	200	$178.00
15:27:30	SELL	Yes	0.88	8	$7.22
15:12:43	SELL	Yes	0.88	70	$61.59
14:26:27	SELL	No	0.11	50	$5.50
14:26:24	BUY	Yes	0.88	371	$326.48
13:41:16	SELL	No	0.12	20	$2.40
13:37:33	BUY	Yes	0.88	20	$17.60
11:51:00	SELL	No	0.13	30	$3.90
11:50:57	BUY	Yes	0.87	30	$26.10
11:36:21	BUY	Yes	0.8699999913	1	$1.00
10:08:49	BUY	Yes	0.8699999956	25	$22.00
09:57:30	SELL	No	0.14	232	$32.48
09:57:18	SELL	No	0.14	232	$32.48
09:57:04	SELL	No	0.14	232	$32.48
09:56:57	SELL	No	0.14	232	$32.48