PolyBot

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Traders

0x71e11e0fc20a2adf27026fbf8674b38f8ff945f0

0x71e11e0fc20a2adf27026fbf8674b38f8ff945f0

Realised P&L
$77.0k
Volume
$3.22M
Markets traded
570
Open portfolio
$29.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded570
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · No0.8801.000$7.2k+$864.02
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9080.980$3.5k+$256.50
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? · No0.3651.000$3.3k+$2.1k
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? · Yes0.7501.000$2.8k+$694.73
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.5280.085$1.5k−$8.0k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.6600.825$1.5k+$297.00
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · No0.7040.988$1.3k+$362.63
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? · Yes0.2020.275$1.1k+$292.14
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.1230.986$1.0k+$878.90
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.6090.967$430.81+$159.40
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2320.275$387.71+$60.32
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · Yes0.2700.085$384.28−$834.91
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.7860.839$336.38+$21.01
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? · Yes0.6720.725$316.03+$23.00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.3300.175$315.00−$279.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 13:49Will the Republican Party win the KY-06 House seat?BUY0.44$13.20
10-28 01:25Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.21$63.00
10-27 23:46Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.21$63.00
10-27 23:04Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.21$63.00
10-25 18:12Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat?BUY0.78$23.40
10-25 18:12Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat?BUY0.76$22.80
10-23 14:13Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.22$11.00
10-23 08:02Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.825$41.25
10-22 15:11Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?BUY0.56$0.12
10-22 12:02Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?BUY0.62$18.60
10-22 09:12Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?BUY0.012$2.40
10-22 05:45Will the Republican Party win the OH-15 House seat?BUY0.34$10.20
10-22 05:45Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?BUY0.65$19.50
10-22 04:13Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?BUY0.012$1.03
10-22 04:06Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?BUY0.011$1.09