canis333
0x637f14532d4103461f1b06d677a8bbcfdc37f1f8
- Realised P&L
- $-197.24
- Volume
- $29.3k
- Markets traded
- 177
- Open portfolio
- $268.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded177
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$73.20at 0.210Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
- +$35.27at 0.220Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
- +$13.25at 0.474Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
- +$12.00at 0.232Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
- +$7.34at 0.080Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 19:57 | Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | SELL | 0.52 | $5.20 |
| 07-30 19:17 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%? | BUY | 0.1290962912 | $3.00 |
| 07-30 19:16 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%? | BUY | 0.3099999622 | $5.00 |
| 07-30 19:16 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%? | BUY | 0.359999977 | $5.00 |
| 07-30 17:45 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.6599998733 | $5.00 |
| 07-30 17:41 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 07-28 21:11 | Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? | SELL | 0.67 | $4.67 |
| 07-28 20:59 | Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $3.60 |
| 07-28 20:58 | Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $14.40 |
| 07-28 20:57 | Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $14.40 |
| 07-21 13:01 | Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.005 | $2.00 |
| 07-21 13:00 | Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.0236259494 | $5.00 |
| 07-20 14:09 | Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 07-20 14:08 | Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.025 | $1.00 |
| 07-20 14:08 | Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |