PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

canis333

0x637f14532d4103461f1b06d677a8bbcfdc37f1f8

Realised P&L
$-197.24
Volume
$29.3k
Markets traded
177
Open portfolio
$268.20

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded177
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · No0.7390.495$32.13$15.87
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower? · Yes0.0310.009$23.49$56.51
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? · No0.3490.565$22.37+$8.55
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? · Yes0.0220.021$18.19$1.80
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record? · Yes0.0050.004$13.28$5.04
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6150.755$12.06+$2.23
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.9050.945$11.48+$0.48
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0780.086$10.96+$0.96
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0660.040$10.11$6.89
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%? · Yes0.1290.412$9.57+$6.57
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.7300.945$9.45+$2.15
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? · Yes0.0140.005$8.40$15.60
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2870.205$7.85$3.15
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes0.2800.195$6.96$3.04
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%? · Yes0.3550.235$6.32$3.23

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 19:57Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?SELL0.52$5.20
07-30 19:17Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?BUY0.1290962912$3.00
07-30 19:16Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?BUY0.3099999622$5.00
07-30 19:16Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%?BUY0.359999977$5.00
07-30 17:45Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.6599998733$5.00
07-30 17:41Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.25$5.00
07-28 21:11Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?SELL0.67$4.67
07-28 20:59Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.72$3.60
07-28 20:58Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.72$14.40
07-28 20:57Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.72$14.40
07-21 13:01Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?BUY0.005$2.00
07-21 13:00Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?BUY0.0236259494$5.00
07-20 14:09Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?BUY0.005$1.00
07-20 14:08Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?BUY0.025$1.00
07-20 14:08Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?BUY0.002$1.00
Trader canis333 · PolyBot