PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x435ef0d4c034db219a764eb9ff951bd419a9f153

Realised P&L
$-779.24
Volume
$125.6k
Markets traded
470
Open portfolio
$493.09

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded470
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.9900.999$169.75+$1.44
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.9600.970$164.80+$1.61
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 4? · No0.5741.000$22.68+$9.65
Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in August 2026? · No0.9050.915$18.20+$0.20
Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in August 2026? · No0.7000.665$13.11$0.69
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No0.9880.983$12.99$0.07
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.8100.825$8.25+$0.15
Will Jeff Leiper win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? · No0.8600.815$8.15$0.45
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on August 5? · No0.9900.997$7.97+$0.05
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 5? · No0.9200.995$7.96+$0.60
Will Brent Bien win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election? · No0.9530.971$7.04+$0.13
Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.5900.580$5.80$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 4? · No0.9201.000$5.05+$0.40
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 4? · No0.8901.000$5.00+$0.55
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No0.4400.455$4.61+$0.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 05:24Plovdiv 2: Daniel Galan vs Georgi GeorgievBUY0.92$1.01
08-04 04:42Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-08-04?BUY0.279999861$1.37
08-04 04:38Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-08-04?BUY0.7299998445$1.08
08-04 04:31National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Jessica Bouzas ManeiroBUY0.8299999817$2.27
08-04 03:08Phoenix Mercury vs. Chicago SkyBUY0.35$1.54
08-04 02:09San Francisco Giants vs. Texas RangersBUY0.8099996274$1.00
08-04 01:35Will CA Paranaense vs. EC Vitória end in a draw?BUY0.9399999897$3.65
08-04 00:16St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5BUY0.423562847$3.29
08-04 00:12Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty: O/U 182.5BUY0.2899998607$1.27
08-04 00:07National Bank Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Maya JointBUY0.36$1.35
08-03 22:37CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Independiente: O/U 0.5BUY0.2$2.31
08-03 22:31CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Independiente: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.63$1.63
08-03 22:28CA Platense vs. CA Talleres: 1st Half O/U 2.5BUY0.995$1.87
08-03 22:07Will CA Cerro win on 2026-08-03?BUY0.8299998872$1.03
08-03 21:09Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-08-03?BUY0.92$1.01