Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2027-01-01
Rewards: 200 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.18. down 0.30 over the period, from 0.48. Range 0.07 to 0.48. 38 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.19	409	409
0.20	4,499	4,908
0.21	966	5,874
0.22	251	6,125
0.36	367	6,492
0.56	209	6,701
0.57	930	7,631
0.60	50	7,681
0.64	1,013	8,693
0.65	4,500	13,193
0.66	3,368	16,561
0.67	1,989	18,550

Spread0.02Mid0.18

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.17	5,459	5,459
0.16	6,663	12,122
0.15	1,894	14,016
0.14	300	14,316
0.12	1,028	15,344
0.11	50	15,394
0.10	230	15,624
0.09	1,024	16,649
0.08	100	16,749
0.07	391	17,140
0.06	250	17,390
0.05	420	17,810

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.83	5,459	5,459
0.84	6,663	12,122
0.85	1,894	14,016
0.86	300	14,316
0.88	1,028	15,344
0.89	50	15,394
0.90	230	15,624
0.91	1,024	16,649
0.92	100	16,749
0.93	391	17,140
0.94	250	17,390
0.95	420	17,810

Spread0.02Mid0.82

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.81	409	409
0.80	4,499	4,908
0.79	966	5,874
0.78	251	6,125
0.64	367	6,492
0.44	209	6,701
0.43	930	7,631
0.40	50	7,681
0.36	1,013	8,693
0.35	4,500	13,193
0.34	3,368	16,561
0.33	1,989	18,550

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0xE42b5f3C8EC8DC615cA8A073186D27B3934b8444-1768006366972	Yes	5,539.53
AiBird	Yes	2,439.53
amused85	Yes	1,000
Koko4444	Yes	367
rexcom	Yes	350
GuyFromTinder	Yes	207
ursweetie	Yes	100
eggsando	Yes	85
vesselmaster	Yes	50
AJSV	Yes	34.1
0x3e8a…0f61	Yes	33.33
PPMT	Yes	30.08
Anjun	Yes	22.82
romanew-cryp	Yes	17.5
asdfasdf11	Yes	10
kk8s118es	Yes	10
laureman	No	2,479.84
balabalababalabala	No	2,000
OneLastHurrah	No	1,301
NeonVector	No	1,033.99

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
11:06:48	BUY	No	0.8299999967	12	$10.00
10:27:03	BUY	No	0.825410708	12	$10.00
10:01:13	BUY	No	0.8299999715	4	$3.50
10:01:12	BUY	No	0.82	431	$353.55
08:06:22	BUY	No	0.8199999836	1	$1.00
08:06:03	BUY	No	0.8199999836	1	$1.00
04:24:39	BUY	No	0.81	300	$243.00
04:21:30	BUY	No	0.8099999923	20	$15.81
03:20:58	SELL	No	0.8	1,150	$920.00
00:33:13	SELL	Yes	0.2	425	$84.90
22:36:28	BUY	No	0.78	10	$7.80
22:36:25	BUY	No	0.7716666667	60	$46.30
22:35:52	BUY	Yes	0.2969997	33	$9.90
22:31:18	BUY	Yes	0.1805207815	5,540	$1000.00
21:43:15	SELL	No	0.83	50	$41.50
20:45:02	BUY	No	0.84	518	$435.12
20:40:51	BUY	No	0.84	495	$415.80
19:03:02	SELL	No	0.83	11	$9.41
19:02:59	SELL	No	0.83	405	$335.84
16:54:03	SELL	Yes	0.16	50	$8.00
16:13:29	BUY	Yes	0.17	367	$62.39
14:04:15	BUY	No	0.8399999997	253	$212.65
13:51:09	SELL	Yes	0.16	251	$40.16
13:50:51	SELL	Yes	0.16	50	$8.00
13:50:51	SELL	Yes	0.16	50	$8.00