PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will there be under 20 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-11
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.34. down 0.16 over the period, from 0.50. Range 0.27 to 0.56. 141 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.483838
0.721048
0.73755
0.74110165
0.9645210
0.9712222
0.9820242
0.9920262

Spread0.29Mid0.33

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.19143143
0.188151
0.0110161

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.81143143
0.828151
0.9910161

Spread0.29Mid0.67

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.523838
0.281048
0.27755
0.26110165
0.0445210
0.0312222
0.0220242
0.0120262

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
tradetosurvive1Yes40
pootytherewardfarmerYes36.8
0x7943…29b4Yes20
ImSweatingYes17.7
galhammermanYes5.94
AMAM13Yes4.3
AJSVNo79.83
0xa5ef…2966No20
panoliNo12.2
karlson4675No7.8
0xe3a0…5793No4.93

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
08:01:13SELLNo0.522$1.19
02:40:52SELLYes0.3310$3.30
02:40:37SELLYes0.333$1.01
02:40:36SELLYes0.332$0.67
02:40:36SELLYes0.52127$65.80
02:40:36BUYNo0.4821520$9.64
02:40:36BUYNo0.479999993424$11.66
01:14:37BUYNo0.4820$9.60
21:45:53BUYNo0.4715$7.09
21:22:04BUYYes0.5399997842$1.10
21:22:04BUYYes0.53999992153$1.65
21:22:04BUYYes0.5410$5.40
21:22:02BUYYes0.53127$67.07
17:05:56BUYNo0.819999996712$10.00
16:46:14BUYYes0.3320$6.60
16:40:11BUYYes0.3462$21.01