PolyBot

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Will a hurricane make landfall in New Hampshire by November 30, 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-08
Resolves by
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.064. down 0.002 over the period, from 0.066. Range 0.059 to 0.066. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0705555
0.0712782
0.077165247
0.078100347
0.07942389
0.89711400
0.89979479
0.90021500
0.96640540
0.9671,0001,540
0.9742,5004,040
0.9803,0007,040

Spread0.012Mid0.064

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0581515
0.0494257
0.040142199
0.03960259
0.021300559
0.0201,8572,417
0.00372,423
0.0021152,538
0.0012,8355,373

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9421515
0.9514257
0.960142199
0.96160259
0.979300559
0.9801,8572,417
0.99772,423
0.9981152,538
0.9992,8355,373

Spread0.012Mid0.936

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9305555
0.9292782
0.923165247
0.922100347
0.92142389
0.10311400
0.10179479
0.10021500
0.03440540
0.0331,0001,540
0.0262,5004,040
0.0203,0007,040

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
thecaricatureYes105
Dr.PNLYes71.75
Numitus1994Yes42
FarlightYes20
AJSVYes18.6
Leclerc04Yes1.99
slobodNo244.94
0xf51b…ca1bNo15

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
09:11:33SELLYes0.05810$0.58
11:10:01BUYNo0.94325$23.57
21:53:46SELLYes0.0646$0.41
21:53:33SELLYes0.06516$1.07
01:20:09SELLYes0.06117$1.04
18:31:42BUYYes0.062$0.12
18:31:40BUYYes0.0617$1.02
18:31:39SELLYes0.068980198101$6.97
01:55:31SELLNo0.90733$30.36
07:41:00SELLYes0.01579$1.19
00:19:09SELLYes0.03121$0.65
23:48:37SELLYes0.0380$2.40
23:48:30SELLYes0.0320$0.60
23:48:25BUYNo0.96275$264.21
23:46:36BUYNo0.9610$9.60
22:39:48SELLYes0.0420$0.80
22:36:45BUYNo0.9520$19.00
22:36:45BUYYes0.0532$1.61
22:11:40SELLYes0.0820$1.60
22:11:24SELLYes0.0940$3.60
22:06:54SELLNo0.950$45.00
22:04:03BUYYes0.0820$1.60
22:04:03BUYNo0.9220$18.40
22:03:52SELLNo0.9220$18.40
22:03:51BUYYes0.065556172990$5.90