Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-11-01
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.14. down 0.13 over the period, from 0.26. Range 0.07 to 0.26. 20 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.25	8	8
0.26	20	28
0.50	53	81
0.71	135	216
0.72	235	451
0.74	7	458
0.75	20	478
0.96	400	878
0.97	55	932
0.99	431	1,363

Spread0.23Mid0.14

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.02	12	12
0.01	478	489

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.98	12	12
0.99	478	489

Spread0.23Mid0.86

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.75	8	8
0.74	20	28
0.50	53	81
0.29	135	216
0.28	235	451
0.26	7	458
0.25	20	478
0.04	400	878
0.03	55	932
0.01	431	1,363

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
AJSV	Yes	83
dpnd	Yes	37
Numitus1994	Yes	21
youtube-trader	Yes	19
ms1910	No	100
0xa5ef…2966	No	40
TemuOracle	No	20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
08:19:27	BUY	Yes	0.1191891892	37	$4.41
07:45:00	BUY	No	0.92	20	$18.40
07:45:00	BUY	No	0.92	20	$18.40
04:58:05	BUY	Yes	0.13	83	$10.79