Madsolbro
0x0e091edf1f6aa768f60407314147faaf3c1d05bb
- Realised P&L
- $-5.3k
- Volume
- $402.5k
- Markets traded
- 120
- Open portfolio
- $8.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded120
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.746Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
- +$587.30at 0.630Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?
- +$408.45at 0.710Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?
- +$405.27at 0.913Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
- +$377.19at 0.570Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 09:50 | Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999997 | $165.00 |
| 08-02 09:45 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.9193965081 | $1000.00 |
| 08-02 09:43 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8599999999 | $1000.00 |
| 08-02 09:43 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $1000.00 |
| 08-02 09:43 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $1000.00 |
| 08-02 09:42 | Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $1000.00 |
| 08-01 12:12 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6499999948 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 11:57 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.379355475 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 11:57 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099999997 | $200.00 |
| 07-30 22:37 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? | BUY | 0.1299999902 | $10.00 |
| 07-30 22:36 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? | BUY | 0.2694610747 | $50.00 |
| 07-30 22:34 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.8 | $129.64 |
| 07-30 14:07 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.2209999786 | $5.95 |
| 07-30 07:55 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.7399999984 | $400.00 |
| 07-29 08:11 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.59 | $102.07 |