Madsolbro
0x0e091edf1f6aa768f60407314147faaf3c1d05bb
- Realised P&L
- $-6.4k
- Volume
- $443.1k
- Markets traded
- 143
- Open portfolio
- $10.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded143
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.746Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
- +$576.20at 0.637Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?
- +$399.75at 0.716Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?
- +$394.04at 0.915Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
- +$370.74at 0.577Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 07:53 | Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.6296851567 | $100.00 |
| 10-05 07:49 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $10.00 |
| 10-04 21:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.039 | $0.20 |
| 10-04 20:59 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.021 | $10.00 |
| 10-04 20:59 | Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.0379810094 | $10.00 |
| 10-04 20:59 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.019 | $10.00 |
| 10-04 20:54 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.0095810553 | $20.00 |
| 10-04 11:41 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.0192315089 | $10.00 |
| 10-02 20:10 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.062169171 | $20.00 |
| 10-02 11:58 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.055 | $100.00 |
| 10-02 11:57 | Will Ethereum reach $2,900 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.08 | $100.00 |
| 09-29 12:36 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1549999977 | $10.00 |
| 09-29 12:35 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5650557612 | $200.00 |
| 09-29 12:35 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4285002473 | $100.00 |
| 09-20 07:48 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8824219369 | $1000.00 |