PolyBot

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Will Warsh say "Payroll" during October Press Conference?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-28
Rewards
50 min size · 6¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.39. down 0.34 over the period, from 0.73. Range 0.30 to 0.73. 86 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.475050
0.561464
0.59150214
0.905219
0.9325244
0.94442686
0.977693
0.98300993
0.999691,961

Spread0.17Mid0.39

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.305151
0.21121172
0.1932204
0.15177381
0.11400781
0.073311,112
0.064741,585
0.055692,154
0.047822,936
0.031,2324,169
0.021,9996,168
0.015,69811,865

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.705151
0.79121172
0.8132204
0.85177381
0.89400781
0.933311,112
0.944741,585
0.955692,154
0.967822,936
0.971,2324,169
0.981,9996,168
0.995,69811,865

Spread0.17Mid0.61

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.535050
0.441464
0.41150214
0.105219
0.0725244
0.06442686
0.037693
0.02300993
0.019691,961

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
Quarrelsome-BranchYes150
0x6288…fd46Yes59
UpTheStairsYes23.75
doctorno99Yes18.23
ddaasdfYes10
priorlabYes8.03
big-bird1Yes4.76
Welcome2026Yes3.03
Lettucehands2Yes3.03
justmeandmeYes2.41
badatthisNo101
frontiertradeNo56.22
frplayersNo50.99
LornaPredictsNo49.99
0x7c14bDd7D62B9a7824C220EE39a9b58773F05783-1773587380195No23.75

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
17:48:33SELLNo0.61101$61.61
17:08:15BUYNo0.721942599312$8.96
17:02:01BUYYes0.32999989443$1.00
17:01:30BUYYes0.329999995362$20.50
17:01:27BUYYes0.32999996028$2.65
17:01:24BUYYes0.3359$19.47
17:01:24BUYYes0.3318$6.02
17:01:22BUYYes0.32999998325$1.57
17:01:21BUYYes0.32999989443$1.00
17:01:21BUYYes0.33150$49.50
02:48:05BUYNo0.4824$11.40