Lettucehands2
0x12acf6e08e7d590b192ae86b67f288ddb04bcae8
- Realised P&L
- $-1.9k
- Volume
- $163.2k
- Markets traded
- 7,661
- Open portfolio
- $58.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,661
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration26.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$75.73at 0.053Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
- +$69.07at 0.058Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
- +$55.45at 0.053Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 4?
- +$53.80at 0.019Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
- +$49.45at 0.078Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 00:01 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.47 | $2.36 |
| 09-23 22:38 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 18:41 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.2799999881 | $2.82 |
| 09-23 18:13 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 09-23 13:46 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 09-23 13:23 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.2298425197 | $1.17 |
| 09-23 12:25 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 12:05 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.2599999762 | $1.31 |
| 09-23 11:29 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.23 | $1.17 |
| 09-23 10:13 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 09-23 08:31 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 09-23 07:47 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.27 |
| 09-23 06:59 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on September 24? | SELL | 0.5 | $2.53 |
| 09-23 06:43 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on September 24? | SELL | 0.21 | $1.10 |
| 09-23 04:04 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.28 | $1.40 |