Will Trump's approval rating be between 37.8 and 37.9 on October 16, 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-17
Resolves by: https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.167. up 0.012 over the period, from 0.155. Range 0.026 to 0.230. 49 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.310	20	20
0.499	6	26
0.500	20	46
0.739	27	73
0.740	80	153
0.750	20	173
0.839	8	181
0.840	20	201
0.847	8	209
0.913	5	214
0.914	9	223
0.922	20	243

Spread0.287Mid0.167

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.023	93	93
0.004	44	138
0.003	240	377
0.002	515	893
0.001	119	1,012

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.977	93	93
0.996	44	138
0.997	240	377
0.998	515	893
0.999	119	1,012

Spread0.287Mid0.833

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.690	20	20
0.501	6	26
0.500	20	46
0.261	27	73
0.260	80	153
0.250	20	173
0.161	8	181
0.160	20	201
0.153	8	209
0.087	5	214
0.086	9	223
0.078	20	243

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
AMAM13	Yes	80
2B9S	Yes	67
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	37.5
Milin-dc	Yes	25
AJSV	Yes	25
televisionloud	Yes	20
take-a-five	Yes	20
Viewbot	Yes	7.5
29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.	Yes	6
lolzzzlol	Yes	6
gfdgfvfvssdd	Yes	4
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9	Yes	1.12
DerDon	No	120
HyperboreanBryanCaplanFan	No	100
0xa5ef…2966	No	59.12
cigarettes	No	20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
11:20:46	BUY	Yes	0.05	20	$1.00
01:32:35	BUY	No	0.8766666667	120	$105.20
20:43:30	BUY	No	0.93	5	$4.65
15:26:49	SELL	Yes	0.21	128	$26.77
15:26:47	BUY	No	0.82	20	$16.40
15:26:47	BUY	No	0.79	14	$11.06
13:37:41	BUY	Yes	0.21	5	$1.05
13:32:44	SELL	Yes	0.17	6	$1.02
12:44:50	SELL	Yes	0.17	7	$1.19
10:47:46	BUY	No	0.89	20	$17.80
10:27:08	SELL	No	0.87	20	$17.40
09:36:08	BUY	Yes	0.08	128	$10.20
08:30:58	BUY	Yes	0.08	13	$1.00