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Will Trump issue an AI Safety Executive Order by October 31?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-01
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.12. down 0.37 over the period, from 0.48. Range 0.07 to 0.51. 70 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.15109109
0.1620129
0.2940170
0.6850220
0.69199419
0.70333752
0.7480832
0.7720852
0.885001,352
0.90211,373
0.95121,385
0.96251,410

Spread0.07Mid0.11

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.08122122
0.0411133
0.0325158
0.02332489
0.017681,257

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.92122122
0.9611133
0.9725158
0.98332489
0.997551,244

Spread0.07Mid0.89

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.85109109
0.8420129
0.7140170
0.3250220
0.31199419
0.30333752
0.2680832
0.2320852
0.125001,352
0.10211,373
0.05121,385
0.04251,410

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
Numitus1994Yes102
0x45e6Df48cCF5d1773D509C97052F819690cEC078-1782111207998Yes50
0x5F3ee9c40Be255D1C18cA38bf4Ab94b564C75337-1776862065527Yes49
AJSVYes30
HaradwaithYes20.1
hollowbyte9Yes14.93
pppnnYes5.9
0x5Ff7455790cd4a08ce14eB5887E6B12279e0F7F0-1775029761019No200
southbetsNo30
erFiodenaNo21
NeonVectorNo14.93
congmqian-gendanNo5
0xbada…d874No1

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
14:28:33BUYNo0.9140$36.40
12:17:21BUYNo0.9110$9.10
12:16:46SELLYes0.0920$1.80
12:16:40BUYNo0.920$18.00
06:11:00BUYNo0.940$36.00
06:09:03BUYNo0.8920$17.80
04:31:28BUYNo0.8420$16.80
04:02:37SELLNo0.919$17.10
01:17:49BUYNo0.8119$15.39
01:17:49BUYNo0.811$0.81
22:58:12BUYYes0.0819$1.52
20:01:26BUYNo0.9240$36.80
15:39:45SELLNo0.8615$12.99
15:38:06BUYNo0.91$0.90
15:37:48SELLNo0.895$4.45
15:37:45BUYNo0.899$8.01
15:37:29BUYNo0.920$18.00
15:37:20BUYNo0.8830$26.40
10:02:34BUYNo0.7120$14.27
21:39:04BUYNo0.679999981215$10.15
21:38:54SELLYes0.3315$4.92
21:38:51BUYNo0.669999983915$10.00
20:38:16BUYYes0.3521$7.35