PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

southbets

0xec4e8e525969c4b9072eed0193e587b73876d9db

Realised P&L
$-1.4k
Volume
$164.1k
Markets traded
624
Open portfolio
$2.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded624
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · No0.8810.895$626.50+$10.00
Will Smith College exclude trans women in 2026? · No0.8760.890$505.87+$7.72
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.9570.957$497.38−$0.26
US recession by end of 2026? · No0.8860.925$471.74+$19.65
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? · No0.8810.880$252.83−$0.42
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.9500.945$189.00−$1.00
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? · No0.9400.945$151.19+$0.80
America.gov removed by October 31? · No0.9750.968$96.80−$0.70
Candace Owens divorced by December 31, 2027? · No0.9530.942$62.61−$0.77
Houthi military action against Mecca by September 30, 2026? · No0.9310.994$19.94+$1.25
Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta? · No0.8090.935$17.29+$2.33
Will Dharmendra Pradhan be out as Minister of Education of India by July 31? · No0.9200.000$0.00−$55.20
England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time? · No0.9450.000$0.00−$27.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 18:06Candace Owens divorced by December 31, 2027?BUY0.96$19.20
10-02 18:05Candace Owens divorced by December 31, 2027?BUY0.95$44.17
10-02 17:42Will Smith College exclude trans women in 2026?BUY0.91$50.05
10-02 17:42Will Smith College exclude trans women in 2026?BUY0.9$184.50
10-02 17:42Will Smith College exclude trans women in 2026?BUY0.89$42.75
10-02 17:32Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?BUY0.95$190.00
10-02 17:28Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.957$124.41
10-02 17:28Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.957$191.40
10-02 17:26Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.957$181.83
10-01 06:42America.gov removed by October 31?BUY0.975$97.50
09-22 10:58Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30?BUY0.93$4.65
09-22 10:56Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30?BUY0.9$18.00
09-22 10:56Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30?BUY0.88$4.40
09-22 08:14Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30?BUY0.88$122.87
09-20 12:17Will Trump issue an AI Safety Executive Order by October 31?BUY0.91$9.10