southbets
0xec4e8e525969c4b9072eed0193e587b73876d9db
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $164.1k
- Markets traded
- 624
- Open portfolio
- $2.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded624
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$107.85at 0.367Will anyone say "President" or "Trump" 25+ times during 2nd NYC mayoral debate on October 22?
- +$100.25at 0.949Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
- +$77.82at 0.606Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during October press conference?
- +$63.50at 0.846US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
- +$59.21at 0.876Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 18:06 | Candace Owens divorced by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.96 | $19.20 |
| 10-02 18:05 | Candace Owens divorced by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.95 | $44.17 |
| 10-02 17:42 | Will Smith College exclude trans women in 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $50.05 |
| 10-02 17:42 | Will Smith College exclude trans women in 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $184.50 |
| 10-02 17:42 | Will Smith College exclude trans women in 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $42.75 |
| 10-02 17:32 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $190.00 |
| 10-02 17:28 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.957 | $124.41 |
| 10-02 17:28 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.957 | $191.40 |
| 10-02 17:26 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.957 | $181.83 |
| 10-01 06:42 | America.gov removed by October 31? | BUY | 0.975 | $97.50 |
| 09-22 10:58 | Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 09-22 10:56 | Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30? | BUY | 0.9 | $18.00 |
| 09-22 10:56 | Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30? | BUY | 0.88 | $4.40 |
| 09-22 08:14 | Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30? | BUY | 0.88 | $122.87 |
| 09-20 12:17 | Will Trump issue an AI Safety Executive Order by October 31? | BUY | 0.91 | $9.10 |