PolyBot

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Will Trump issue an AI Safety Executive Order by November 30?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-01
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.10. down 0.39 over the period, from 0.48. Range 0.06 to 0.52. 83 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.152020
0.182343
0.862063
0.951275
0.9625100
0.9786186
0.9875262
0.99115377

Spread0.10Mid0.10

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.055050
0.041565
0.0370135
0.02107241
0.01122364

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.955050
0.961565
0.9770135
0.98107241
0.99122364

Spread0.10Mid0.90

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.852020
0.822343
0.142063
0.051275
0.0425100
0.0386186
0.0275262
0.01115377

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
Numitus1994Yes80
AJSVYes75
tradetosurvive1Yes24.99
Dr.PNLYes22.86
0x5F3ee9c40Be255D1C18cA38bf4Ab94b564C75337-1776862065527Yes20
GuyFromTinderYes5
2B9SYes3.2
F0EDaD999a2E64C9594d645F5Dd83B09526C87B1No150
balthazarNo79.99
jhuusNo1.06

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
08:16:15SELLYes0.033$0.10
08:16:03SELLYes0.0543$2.16
03:11:54SELLYes0.0513$0.66
19:00:17SELLNo0.920$0.01
19:00:17SELLYes0.050$0.00
17:55:26SELLYes0.05450$2.70
13:46:59SELLYes0.0820$1.60
11:26:06SELLYes0.0610$0.60
11:08:30SELLNo0.9150$45.50
11:06:08BUYYes0.0950$4.50
10:50:05BUYYes0.1320$2.60
10:41:20SELLYes0.1620$3.20
10:41:15SELLYes0.177$1.16
10:41:15SELLYes0.1720$3.40
10:41:11BUYNo0.8310$8.19
10:41:09BUYNo0.83100$83.00
10:41:09BUYNo0.8313$10.95
10:41:09BUYNo0.8310$8.41
10:41:09BUYNo0.829999998723$19.14
10:41:09BUYNo0.8320$16.60
10:41:09BUYNo0.82999999880$66.39
07:38:41BUYNo0.8410$8.39
07:14:54SELLNo0.7915$11.85
07:11:18SELLNo0.7950$39.50
07:09:57SELLNo0.865$4.30