Will there be no next Claude Sonnet model release by October 15, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-16
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.13. down 0.13 over the period, from 0.25. Range 0.13 to 0.25. 39 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.13	399	399
0.14	23	422
0.16	20	442
0.54	235	677
0.55	300	977
0.57	19	996
0.63	135	1,131
0.65	600	1,731
0.66	300	2,031
0.90	400	2,431
0.91	15	2,446
0.95	300	2,746

Spread0.01Mid0.13

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.12	45	45
0.11	150	195
0.10	166	361
0.08	16	377
0.07	16	394
0.06	33	426
0.04	259	685
0.03	133	818
0.02	300	1,118
0.01	10	1,128

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.88	45	45
0.89	150	195
0.90	166	361
0.92	16	377
0.93	16	394
0.94	33	426
0.96	259	685
0.97	133	818
0.98	300	1,118
0.99	10	1,128

Spread0.01Mid0.88

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.87	399	399
0.86	23	422
0.84	20	442
0.46	235	677
0.45	300	977
0.43	19	996
0.37	135	1,131
0.35	600	1,731
0.34	300	2,031
0.10	400	2,431
0.09	15	2,446
0.05	300	2,746

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
AJSV	Yes	41.42
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	25
LiquidityN00b	Yes	23.18
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271	Yes	21.2
Numitus1994	Yes	18.89
0xa39Fe164c54030B5f3Dc3D93Ac550a8Bed83fBDB-1768116899785	Yes	5
BhriguSamhita	Yes	4
GuyFromTinder	Yes	1.14
0xa5ef…2966	No	73.68
wish-	No	65
0x734Aac8d054CCdFE0c56508DC39b1fE900676Aef-1776813954204	No	1.14

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
20:02:09	BUY	No	0.8799999648	1	$1.00
19:54:21	BUY	No	0.8799999972	28	$24.80
18:39:26	BUY	No	0.8869230769	65	$57.65
15:02:36	BUY	Yes	0.18	20	$3.60
13:46:42	BUY	No	0.89	13	$11.13
13:46:18	BUY	No	0.9	1	$1.28
13:46:17	BUY	No	0.89	13	$11.29
13:46:15	BUY	No	0.91	19	$17.19
10:45:00	BUY	Yes	0.25	4	$1.00