PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x734Aac8d054CCdFE0c56508DC39b1fE900676Aef-1776813954204

0x734aac8d054ccdfe0c56508dc39b1fe900676aef

Realised P&L
$-725.50
Volume
$62.3k
Markets traded
231
Open portfolio
$10.99

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded231
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration72.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 28, 2026? · No0.8000.640$8.00−$2.00
Next Claude Opus released by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.9100.920$1.01+$0.01
Will there be no next Claude Sonnet model release by October 15, 2026? · No0.8800.875$0.99−$0.01
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 1, 2026? · No0.8700.860$0.99−$0.01
Ethereum Up or Down - September 24, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET · Down0.5500.000$0.00−$2.75
Solana Up or Down - September 24, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET · Up0.7500.000$0.00−$3.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 20:02Will there be no next Claude Sonnet model release by October 15, 2026?BUY0.8799999648$1.00
09-25 20:01Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 1, 2026?BUY0.8699999913$1.00
09-25 20:01Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 28, 2026?BUY0.8$10.00
09-25 19:59Next Claude Opus released by December 31, 2026?BUY0.91$1.00
09-24 11:53Ethereum Up or Down - September 24, 7:50AM-7:55AM ETBUY0.55$2.75
09-24 02:40Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10PM ETBUY0.11$1.10
09-21 06:39Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?BUY0.32$1.00
09-21 06:29Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 24, 2026?BUY0.9$1.00
09-06 18:34Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.1899998784$1.00
08-27 04:37Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ETBUY0.7099998694$5.00
08-18 20:11Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.629999988$10.00
08-18 20:06Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ETBUY0.2599999661$4.91
07-19 14:14Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5899999272$3.00
07-15 21:18Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETBUY0.579999996$43.34
07-15 21:17Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETBUY0.6799999946$10.00