PolyBot

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Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-21
Resolves by
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.847. up 0.742 over the period, from 0.105. Range 0.035 to 0.958. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9983939
0.99965104

Spread0.302Mid0.847

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.696142142
0.6956149
0.62270219
0.61933252
0.5968260
0.5469270
0.44611281
0.19275356
0.18623379
0.10025404
0.03713417
0.036121538

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.304142142
0.3056149
0.37870219
0.38133252
0.4048260
0.4549270
0.55411281
0.80875356
0.81423379
0.90025404
0.96313417
0.964121538

Spread0.302Mid0.153

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0023939
0.00165104

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
balthazarYes680.13
pykueYes371
DJBLAKYes320.5
GuyFromTinderYes261.87
RicilYes221.83
sky886Yes186.23
PontiusPilateYes150
FihdrzgddYes116.14
tradetosurvive1Yes99.7
CelestaQueenYes86.44
joe48691Yes85.77
buzzedballsYes77.9
NotAnIdiotYes67.84
PredictionYogiYes52
gfdgfvfvssddYes40
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Yes39
big-bird1Yes38.26
TltbkbtYes31.67
WYLTKWBYes25.32
0xb857…9648Yes20.92

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
16:32:41BUYYes0.99720$20.00
15:37:49BUYYes0.99636$35.86
11:38:51SELLYes0.99371$367.29
08:14:48SELLNo0.00586$0.43
06:40:50BUYYes0.994999926410$10.00
04:35:07BUYNo0.0541$2.05
04:31:27BUYNo0.05065668665$0.25
04:31:19BUYNo0.0545$2.25
04:19:12BUYYes0.99499997632$31.69
03:59:24SELLNo0.00520$0.10
03:58:30BUYYes0.989615384652$51.46
03:33:19SELLNo0.0115542091125$1.44
03:30:20BUYYes0.983372360986$85.00
02:52:08SELLNo0.043567174870$3.06
02:42:40BUYYes0.947999999425$24.00
02:42:10SELLYes0.93510$9.35
02:37:37BUYYes0.947477252738$36.25
02:37:35BUYYes0.9389672387321$300.94
02:30:49SELLNo0.0721$1.47
02:30:07SELLNo0.13721$2.88
02:06:05BUYYes0.8499150085118$100.00
02:04:04BUYYes0.8969082139557$500.00
02:03:37SELLNo0.1514$2.08
02:03:07SELLNo0.1630$4.80
02:02:55SELLNo0.1620$3.20