PredictionYogi
0x69645cea639e7a19cbde6c126a197bc1abafef53
- Realised P&L
- $77.7k
- Volume
- $36.73M
- Markets traded
- 3,807
- Open portfolio
- $815.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,807
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration35.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.745 | $815.85 | −$5.48 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET · Up | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.311 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.8k |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.452 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$933.93 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET · Down | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.148 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$86.91 |
| Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.28 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.1kat 0.235Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
- +$21.4kat 0.262Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
- +$20.0kat 0.998Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
- +$19.9kat 0.351Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?
- +$18.2kat 0.330Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 15:40 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $960.56 |
| 09-18 15:40 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.9k |
| 09-18 15:38 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $54.89 |
| 09-18 15:38 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $69.86 |
| 09-18 15:38 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $150.71 |
| 09-18 14:43 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.1848067362 | $20.74 |
| 09-18 14:42 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $13.81 |
| 09-18 14:42 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399763995 | $29.66 |
| 09-18 14:40 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.1241578671 | $129.83 |
| 09-18 13:53 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $39.41 |
| 09-18 13:49 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $38.50 |
| 09-18 13:43 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $125.19 |
| 09-18 13:31 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $45.26 |
| 09-18 11:39 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $90.39 |
| 09-18 11:38 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $8.30 |