PredictionYogi
0x69645cea639e7a19cbde6c126a197bc1abafef53
- Realised P&L
- $72.7k
- Volume
- $34.75M
- Markets traded
- 3,477
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,477
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration68.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? · Yes | 0.668 | 0.845 | $1.4k | +$287.32 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? · Yes | 0.297 | 0.165 | $267.55 | −$214.17 |
| Will Elon post "Trump" on X this week? · No | 0.973 | 0.905 | $64.27 | −$4.82 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.1kat 0.235Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
- +$21.4kat 0.262Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
- +$20.0kat 0.998Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
- +$19.9kat 0.351Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?
- +$18.2kat 0.330Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 08:05 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $133.70 |
| 08-03 06:18 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.69 | $101.43 |
| 08-03 06:13 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.66 | $56.10 |
| 08-03 06:13 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $0.01 |
| 08-03 06:07 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $36.41 |
| 08-03 06:07 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.35 | $66.37 |
| 08-03 06:06 | Will Elon post "President" on X this week? | BUY | 0.999 | $355.51 |
| 08-03 06:05 | Will Trump post "President Xi" on Truth Social this week? | BUY | 0.9875880597 | $66.17 |
| 08-03 06:02 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.58 | $16.78 |
| 08-03 05:59 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.57 | $127.22 |
| 08-03 05:52 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $120.48 |
| 08-03 05:52 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $7.00 |
| 08-03 05:42 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.66 | $42.90 |
| 08-03 05:41 | Will Trump post "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" on Truth Social this week? | BUY | 0.9984857143 | $174.74 |
| 08-03 05:40 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $53.76 |