PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-19
Resolves by
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.002. down 0.233 over the period, from 0.235. Range 0.002 to 0.520. 125 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.00244
0.0032428
0.0041038
0.0051048
0.006210258
0.00710269
0.00810279
0.009510789
0.010130919
0.012821,001
0.0153001,301
0.020501,351

Spread0.001Mid0.002

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0017474

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9997474

Spread0.001Mid0.998

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.99844
0.9972428
0.9961038
0.9951048
0.994210258
0.99310269
0.99210279
0.991510789
0.990130919
0.988821,001
0.9853001,301
0.980501,351

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
CaptainCoinflipYes1,000.3
givemethebucksYes343.41
sanduspaceYes200
PINKLODA13Yes132
1757853877736Yes100
manochartinoYes85.69
AJSVYes83.17
0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256Yes75.97
Useless.Yes21.74
splogdesYes16.09
sanBeYes13
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Yes10.29
TENETENETYes10
bjproloYes10
youtube-traderYes6
0xA05C4259e96B0aE00FeAa737214bF8Bf4e8b6f9F-1731150808149Yes6
triklozoidYes5
NotAnIdiotYes2.32
AwahKongNo912.86
0xc8A5Fb6E9e78Cc63Ec344D85fed665f8EaC382bD-1773664201494No405.39

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
14:30:19SELLNo0.9986$6.10
07:45:02BUYNo0.9976033501153$153.00
02:51:25BUYNo0.99156167418$18.01
22:32:37BUYNo0.9911$1.00
21:45:37BUYNo0.9911$1.00
21:43:03SELLYes0.0090$0.00
13:50:41BUYNo0.999202$201.66
13:50:22BUYNo0.998711$709.58
12:35:55SELLNo0.9225$4.66
10:19:19SELLYes0.002146$0.29
08:42:53BUYYes0.0035$0.02
08:38:19SELLYes0.01113$1.13
08:36:41BUYYes0.35$1.50
08:35:53BUYYes0.0483$3.33
06:38:23BUYNo0.989236$233.08
06:14:25SELLYes0.01110$0.11
06:11:15BUYYes0.021726142230$5.00
06:09:13BUYNo0.99205$203.34
06:06:31BUYYes0.03132$3.96
06:06:07BUYNo0.98999981395$5.00
06:05:54BUYYes0.0264838301113$3.00
06:04:51BUYNo0.99913$13.13
06:04:49BUYNo0.9910$9.90
06:02:01BUYYes0.0210$0.21
06:02:01SELLYes0.050940860215$0.76