PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Useless.

0xd98d8597a6296b4f6d530a9364869524ae34268d

Realised P&L
$-18.17
Volume
$1.6k
Markets traded
47
Open portfolio
$0.03

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded47
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample45 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · Yes0.4600.002$0.03−$9.97
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 24? · No0.4610.000$0.00−$4.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET · Down0.9020.000$0.00−$8.79
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026? · No0.7400.000$0.00−$40.00
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22? · Yes0.5600.000$0.00−$20.82
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on January 24? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 07:02Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.459999988$10.00
10-02 14:46Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.7899999905$10.00
03-02 12:26Will Iran strike Oman in March?BUY0.6880000004$15.01
02-17 03:47Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?SELL0.951$10.00
02-16 17:14Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?BUY0.8550432904$9.00
02-16 17:09Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?BUY0.5599999946$20.82
02-12 10:14Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETBUY0.9$8.75
02-11 14:08Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?SELL0.959$8.78
02-11 12:50Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?BUY0.9449999989$8.66
02-11 12:26Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?SELL0.675$8.66
02-11 12:20Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?BUY0.6919999489$8.88
02-10 14:01Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?SELL0.164$1.43
02-10 13:47Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?BUY0.2989998445$1.00
02-10 13:45Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?BUY0.3709999232$2.00
02-10 13:20Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?SELL0.7315038488$10.45